TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x371a…34b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
2,710
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 2,710 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT7450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT537.5%4 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3215.6%5 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-66.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT283.6%1 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-91.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2512%3 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-59.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick2cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-60.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-75.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.