TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37ef…56f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 60 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$74
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$168
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$183
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$174
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$180
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$183
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.91
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$353.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$124.75
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+150%+$600
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$705
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$495
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$250
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+257.1%+$280.8
Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+98%+$735.64
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$232
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$133.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$138.85
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$260.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$126.24
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$225
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$106
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.63
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$271.55
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$186.91
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$492
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$354
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$409
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$537.88
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$820
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.13
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$516
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$87.49
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.15
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$347.73
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.64
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$185.44
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.54
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$349.85
Will FC Andorra win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+177.8%+$640
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$570
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.37
Will "Nick Wright" win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Ren Lin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.78
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Kevin Pollak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.