TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39b2…9460

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
551
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT35619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 356 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$80.63
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$135.08
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$167.12
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$111.41
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.31
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.21
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$39.69
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.13
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.96
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$20.29
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.18
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.13
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 356 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$10.42
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.42
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$402.5
Will CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3429.4%10 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed Vålerenga Fotball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.51
FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$21.19
Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)backed IK Start · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)backed Aalesunds FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$7.41
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed Sandefjord Fotball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)backed IF Brommapojkarna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)backed Orgryte IS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$452.89
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.01
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Viking FK vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+1,179.5%+$589.71
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$8.32
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+228%+$22.8
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+227.6%+$60.09
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$91.5
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.68
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.74
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.49
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.87
FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-2.5)backed ÍF Vestri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$12.22
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
HNK Rijeka vs. Derry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.03
Will Motherwell FC vs. HB end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed FC St. Gallen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Valletta FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+210.4%+$63.11
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.86
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)backed ÍF Vestri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed ÍF Vestri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Víkingur vs. UMF Stjarnan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Spread: Bohemian FC (-2.5)backed St Joseph's FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-2.5)backed Europa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bohemian FC vs. St Joseph's FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+223.3%+$120.35
Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.81
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.12
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.18
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$79.32
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.26
Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+68.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$24.7
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)backed Larne FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)backed Larne FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.15
FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$199.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+200.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.