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Wallet 0x3c32…7156

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$239,211 staked over 4,649 qualified picks in 44 categories, 19 of 44 below 50.

63

Best category

China Taiwan

$607 staked over 12 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.12 per pick.

See the full China Taiwan board
58

Second best

Champions League

$1,465 staked over 29 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full Champions League board
58

Third best

NFL

$2,342 staked over 24 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full NFL board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,649 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.

Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.

Record by category44 Categories

The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
China Taiwanlast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT$607—no start of play1 dto the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.36100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.3+0.3648c+99.2%63

The 12 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Champions Leaguelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT$1,465before 92%in play 8%, over 26 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 58 before the start12 h 17to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.14101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2969%20 W · 9 L+3.9+0.1455c+24.6%58

The 29 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT$2,342before 92%in play 8%, over 24 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 14 before the start16 h 27to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.15102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4+0.1448c+38.2%58

The 24 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT$447before 80%in play 20%, over 10 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 h 16 before the start21 h 20to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.21101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1+0.2149c+63.7%57

The 10 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT$10,593before 100%in play 0%, over 184 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 h 33 before the start1 dto the end, median over 336 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled+0.06102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 127 of 239 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)23960.7%145 W · 94 L+13.0+0.0555c+9.4%55

The 239 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 239 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Dota2 Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT$3,644before 37%in play 63%, over 51 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start4 h 44to the end, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.09119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 43 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.6+0.0756c+9.4%55

The 51 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 51 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Music Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT$1,032—no start of play2 dto the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled+0.11102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8+0.1154c+21.2%55

The 17 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

AI Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT$761—no start of play5 dto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled+0.11113% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 113% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7+0.0952c+24.6%54

The 18 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT$736—no start of play4 dresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled+0.28100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1+0.2872c+41.6%54

The 4 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

College Football Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT$1,429before 47%in play 53%, over 15 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start3 h 59to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.10101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4+0.1057c+14.6%54

The 15 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT$376—no start of play6 dto the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.0999% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4+0.0948c-7.9%54

The 16 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT$6,057before 77%in play 23%, over 92 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 18 before the start15 h 08to the end, median over 105 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.04106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 39 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)9259.8%55 W · 37 L+3.2+0.0356c+6.3%53

The 92 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 12, 2026, EDT$103—too few: 2 picks1 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.33100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7+0.3367c+52.9%53

The 2 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Us Politics Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT$83—no start of play15 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.33100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7+0.3367c+51.4%53

The 2 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NBA Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT$15,317before 99%in play 1%, over 359 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 21 before the start10 h 45to the end, median over 403 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled+0.02112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 209 of 363 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)36353.2%193 W · 170 L+7.3+0.0251c+3.9%52

The 363 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 363 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Jul 30, 2026, EDT$259—too few: 8 picks3 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.08101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6+0.0855c+25.1%52

The 8 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT$3,645—no start of play6 dto the end, median over 86 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled+0.03103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.2+0.0254c-1%52

The 48 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT$1,664before 98%in play 2%, over 66 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 48 before the start12 h 41to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.02114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 49 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)6654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4+0.0252c+2.6%52

The 66 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$2,186before 96%in play 4%, over 27 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 h 59 before the start1 dto the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.03109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.7+0.0353c+8.6%52

The 27 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT$4,379—no start of play6 dto the end, median over 141 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 56 of them sold before the market settled+0.02104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 31 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)6759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.2+0.0258c-0.7%51

The 67 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Cricket Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT$175—too few: 3 picks5 h 37to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.14116% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 116% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4+0.1255c+21.8%51

The 3 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$837before 80%in play 20%, over 10 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 08 before the start4 h 22to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.03109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2+0.0257c0%51

The 10 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Movies Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT$1,031—no start of play4 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled+0.02120% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 120% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2+0.0255c-9.3%51

The 14 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Commodities Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT$972—no start of play11 dto the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled+0.01104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2+0.0155c+0.5%51

The 16 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT$41,066before 60%in play 40%, over 855 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 54 min before the start5 h 42to the end, median over 1,216 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled+0.01334% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 334% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 573 of 861 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)86154.7%471 W · 390 L+1.70.0055c-0.6%50

The 861 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 861 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 8, 2026, EDT$940before 73%in play 27%, over 11 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 51 before the start11 h 30to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2-0.0265c-11.1%49

The 11 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

CS2 Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT$13,600before 86%in play 14%, over 321 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 04 before the start12 h 08to the end, median over 425 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 165 of 321 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)32153.3%171 W · 150 L-2.1-0.0154c-1.8%49

The 321 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 321 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT$75,021before 76%in play 24%, over 1,376 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 31 before the start6 h 19to the end, median over 1,461 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 903 of 1,376 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1,37650.4%694 W · 682 L-9.3-0.0151c-0.5%49

The 1,376 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,376 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$21,533before 88%in play 12%, over 427 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 08 before the start13 h 26to the end, median over 631 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 172 of 427 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)42757.4%245 W · 182 L-3.8-0.0158c-2.2%49

The 427 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 427 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT$534—no start of play13 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5-0.0457c-13%49

The 13 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Venezuelalast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT$56—no start of play26 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.35no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.4-0.3535c-100%49

The 1 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$1,128before 89%in play 11%, over 18 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 h 25 before the start19 h 51to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6-0.0359c-7.1%48

The 18 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Tweets Inactivelast settled Mar 25, 2026, EDT$28—no start of play2 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.4-0.2070c-23.1%48

The 2 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

WNBA Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT$3,535before 100%in play 0%, over 32 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 45 before the start11 h 12to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.1-0.0457c-0.6%48

The 32 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

World Politicslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$2,808—no start of play7 dto the end, median over 94 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled-0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.3-0.0457c-0.8%47

The 58 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$78—too few: 3 picks1 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.30no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9-0.3063c-53.7%46

The 3 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT$1,860before 91%in play 9%, over 33 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 52 before the start9 h 54to the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2-0.0749c-7.4%46

The 33 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT$318—no start of play8 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.28no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)425%1 W · 3 L-1.1-0.2954c-45.7%46

The 4 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Valorant Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT$6,250before 85%in play 15%, over 120 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 23 before the start9 h 41to the end, median over 160 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 62 of 120 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)12052.5%63 W · 57 L-5.7-0.0557c-10.2%46

The 120 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 120 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NHL Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT$6,754before 99%in play 1%, over 154 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 34 before the start12 h 44to the end, median over 159 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 93 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)15448.1%74 W · 80 L-7.6-0.0553c-8.3%45

The 154 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 18, 2026, EDT$616before 64%in play 36%, over 14 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 24 before the start9 h 09to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1450%7 W · 7 L-2.1-0.1565c-28.3%44

The 14 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT$269—too few: 3 picks11 h 13to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.57no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)30%0 W · 3 L-1.7-0.5757c-100%43

The 3 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT$324—too few: 6 picks1 dto the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.31no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9-0.3265c-58.1%43

The 6 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$2,353before 97%in play 3%, over 39 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 46 before the start11 h 54to the end, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.0-0.1351c-18.8%41

The 39 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,649 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.