Wallet 0x3da8…be26
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x3da80ca893666957475095ac1504094df93dbe26
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$165,178 staked over 5,245 qualified picks in 30 categories, 19 of 30 below 50.
Best category
La Liga
$3,245 staked over 106 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full La Liga boardSecond best
Premier League
$3,640 staked over 113 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Premier League boardThird best
Serie A
$176 staked over 7 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,245 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category30 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,245 | before 99%in play 1%, over 106 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 16 before the start | 12 h 42to the end, median over 234 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0999% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 33 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +9.8 | +0.09 | 49c | +30.1% | 58 |
The 106 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,640 | before 100%in play 0%, over 113 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 17 before the start | 9 h 31to the end, median over 220 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 39 of 113 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +6.2 | +0.05 | 45c | +16.9% | 55 |
The 113 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 113 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $176 | —too few: 7 picks | 3 h 15to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2098% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4 | +0.20 | 51c | +34.1% | 55 |
The 7 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $13,340 | before 97%in play 3%, over 441 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 44 before the start | 7 h 26to the end, median over 707 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 71 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 209 of 442 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 442 | 53.4%236 W · 206 L | +16.3 | +0.04 | 50c | +7.7% | 54 |
The 442 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 442 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,570 | before 96%in play 4%, over 191 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 36 before the start | 7 h 29to the end, median over 363 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 74 of 191 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.6 | +0.03 | 51c | +4.5% | 53 |
The 191 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 191 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,715 | before 100%in play 0%, over 229 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 04 before the start | 9 h 08to the end, median over 366 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 74 of 229 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +6.1 | +0.03 | 52c | +5.8% | 53 |
The 229 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 229 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $3,206 | before 100%in play 0%, over 93 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 14 before the start | 14 h 53to the end, median over 164 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 25 of 93 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +2.8 | +0.03 | 48c | +4.1% | 53 |
The 93 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 93 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 25, 2026, EDT | $10 | —no start of play | 41 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.61100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.61 | 39c | +156.4% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $156 | —too few: 8 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.16167% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 167% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7 | +0.09 | 53c | +15.6% | 53 |
The 8 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $167 | —too few: 9 picks | 1 h 05to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10136% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 136% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7 | +0.08 | 48c | +25% | 52 |
The 9 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $55,639 | before 99%in play 1%, over 1,793 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 00 before the start | 9 h 01to the end, median over 3,624 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 358 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01124% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 124% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 651 of 1,811 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,811 | 44%797 W · 1,014 L | +9.7 | +0.01 | 43c | +1.8% | 51 |
The 1,811 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,811 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT | $94 | —no start of play | 16 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 50c | -25.3% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,329 | before 98%in play 2%, over 55 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min before the start | 4 h 48to the end, median over 120 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5 | -0.01 | 55c | -2% | 49 |
The 55 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,124 | before 100%in play 0%, over 65 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 43 before the start | 12 h 49to the end, median over 127 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.8 | -0.01 | 46c | -1.1% | 49 |
The 65 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $614 | before 100%in play 0%, over 20 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 06 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5 | -0.02 | 47c | -1.1% | 49 |
The 20 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,012 | before 100%in play 0%, over 133 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 10 before the start | 9 h 30to the end, median over 307 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 133 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -2.0 | -0.02 | 48c | -5.1% | 49 |
The 133 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 133 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,200 | before 96%in play 4%, over 623 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 53 before the start | 7 h 28to the end, median over 1,231 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 156 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 297 of 623 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 623 | 48.5%302 W · 321 L | -10.4 | -0.02 | 50c | -4.8% | 48 |
The 623 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 623 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $8,107 | before 98%in play 2%, over 285 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 59 before the start | 13 h 09to the end, median over 590 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 87 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 114 of 286 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 286 | 49%140 W · 146 L | -5.1 | -0.02 | 51c | -3.5% | 48 |
The 286 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 286 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,122 | before 100%in play 0%, over 77 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 19 before the start | 5 h 30to the end, median over 148 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 77 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.8 | -0.02 | 48c | -9.2% | 48 |
The 77 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 77 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 15, 2026, EDT | $120 | —too few: 1 pick | 5 h 17resells, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.54no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.54 | 54c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,652 | before 100%in play 0%, over 87 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 26 before the start | 9 h 24to the end, median over 132 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 37 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.6 | -0.03 | 48c | -6.9% | 47 |
The 88 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $515 | before 100%in play 0%, over 28 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 before the start | 5 h 13to the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5 | -0.05 | 48c | -11.1% | 47 |
The 28 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $5,690 | before 100%in play 0%, over 201 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 34 before the start | 11 h 54to the end, median over 405 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 201 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -9.2 | -0.05 | 47c | -11.7% | 45 |
The 201 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 201 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $4,214 | before 97%in play 3%, over 104 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 36 before the start | 13 h 13to the end, median over 176 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -5.6 | -0.05 | 50c | -13.4% | 45 |
The 106 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,735 | before 97%in play 3%, over 139 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 15 before the start | 10 h 15to the end, median over 245 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 57 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 66 of 139 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -7.0 | -0.05 | 50c | -9.6% | 45 |
The 139 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 139 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $560 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 08 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7 | -0.12 | 55c | -32.4% | 45 |
The 14 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,087 | before 100%in play 0%, over 57 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 03 before the start | 5 h 47to the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 37 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6 | -0.06 | 48c | -15.1% | 45 |
The 57 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,672 | before 100%in play 0%, over 114 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 24 before the start | 14 h 06to the end, median over 264 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 114 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -6.5 | -0.06 | 48c | -13.5% | 45 |
The 114 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 114 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,839 | before 100%in play 0%, over 177 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 53 before the start | 12 h 17to the end, median over 273 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 177 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -10.9 | -0.06 | 50c | -13.1% | 44 |
The 177 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 177 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,625 | before 100%in play 0%, over 49 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 20 before the start | 11 h 05to the end, median over 96 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -6.9 | -0.14 | 47c | -37.4% | 40 |
The 49 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,245 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 53
- What they are worth now
- $1,219bought for $1,119
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 53, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cairns Taipans vs. New Zealand Breakers: O/U 189.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 120 | 53c | 100c | $120 |
| Anyang vs. Wonju DB Promy (opens in a new tab)backed Wonju DB Promy | 120 | 44c | 83c | $99 |
| Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings: O/U 193.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 120 | 46c | 51c | $61 |
| Will Suwon FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 60 | 46c | 79c | $47 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Athletic Club | 133 | 6c | 34c | $45 |
| Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 60 | 73c | 74c | $44 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 62.71 | 68c | 70c | $44 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage (opens in a new tab)backed FUT Esports | 60 | 73c | 73c | $44 |
| Cricket World Cup League 2: UAE vs Netherlands (opens in a new tab)backed Netherlands | 60 | 64c | 71c | $42 |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed TYLOO | 120 | 34c | 33c | $39 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns vs. Pistons (opens in a new tab)backed Suns · settled | 218.23 | 42c | $0 | Counted |
| Palermo: Louis Wessels vs Andrej Martin (opens in a new tab)backed Louis Wessels · settled | 150 | 45c | $0 | Counted |
| Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic (opens in a new tab)backed Dino Prizmic · settled | 90 | 34c | $0 | Counted |
| US Open WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Montgomery/Krueger (opens in a new tab)backed Montgomery/Krueger · settled | 79.55 | 12c | $0 | Never scored |
| Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group B (opens in a new tab)backed Yawara Esports · settled | 75 | 35c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.