Wallet 0x47c9…2038
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x47c9014f76660cd2efe17c1f5ea342fd12cd2038
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$81,680 staked over 3,022 qualified picks in 26 categories, 14 of 26 below 50.
Best category
Euroleague
$280 staked over 15 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.12 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardSecond best
Other European Leagues
$1,048 staked over 41 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Other European Leagues boardThird best
Fifa International
$2,527 staked over 149 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Fifa International boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,022 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category26 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $280 | before 0%in play 100%, over 15 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 3 h 30to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.36110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.9 | +0.32 | 41c | +76.5% | 63 |
The 15 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $1,048 | before 0%in play 100%, over 41 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min after the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1695% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 36 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.7 | +0.16 | 42c | +46.8% | 61 |
The 41 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $2,527 | before 0%in play 100%, over 149 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 1 h 53to the end, median over 754 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 49 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 137 of 149 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +13.9 | +0.09 | 46c | +21.1% | 59 |
The 149 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 149 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,075 | before 0%in play 100%, over 100 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 1 h 44to the end, median over 525 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11129% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 129% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 69 of 100 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.6 | +0.09 | 44c | +15.4% | 58 |
The 100 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 100 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $13,008 | before 0%in play 100%, over 516 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 42 after the start | 1 h 21to the end, median over 1,473 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 40 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 395 of 516 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 516 | 46.7%241 W · 275 L | +26.4 | +0.05 | 42c | +12.5% | 55 |
The 516 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 516 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $115 | —too few: 4 picks | 1 h 06to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3 | +0.31 | 44c | +57.2% | 55 |
The 4 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,604 | before 0%in play 100%, over 109 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 1 h 34to the end, median over 204 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0588% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 100 of 109 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +5.7 | +0.05 | 44c | +14.4% | 55 |
The 109 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 109 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $277 | before 0%in play 100%, over 12 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 26 after the start | 2 h 07to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3 | +0.11 | 47c | +11.4% | 54 |
The 12 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $4,140 | before 0%in play 100%, over 100 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 3 h 03to the end, median over 313 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02122% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 122% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 59 of 100 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9 | +0.02 | 45c | +2.3% | 52 |
The 100 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 100 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $344 | before 0%in play 100%, over 11 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 2 h 22to the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08214% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 214% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4 | +0.04 | 42c | +0.6% | 51 |
The 11 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $13,649 | before <1%in play >99%, over 407 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min after the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 1,134 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 56 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04336% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 336% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 369 of 407 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 407 | 42.8%174 W · 233 L | +4.3 | +0.01 | 42c | +0.1% | 51 |
The 407 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 407 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,941 | before 0%in play 100%, over 138 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min after the start | 2 h 53to the end, median over 263 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0197% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 128 of 138 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 45c | +5% | 51 |
The 138 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 138 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $38 | —too few: 3 picks | 1 h 37to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0 | -0.01 | 34c | -8% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Aug 24, 2026, EDT | $12,826 | before 1%in play 99%, over 439 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min after the start | 1 h 47to the end, median over 1,354 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 94 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 407 of 441 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4 | -0.01 | 39c | -3.3% | 49 |
The 441 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 441 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $293 | before 0%in play 100%, over 18 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 14 after the start | 3 h 41to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4 | -0.02 | 41c | -3.8% | 49 |
The 18 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $3,829 | before 0%in play 100%, over 134 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 278 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 128 of 134 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -2.1 | -0.02 | 42c | -10.5% | 49 |
The 134 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 134 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT | $6,053 | before 1%in play 99%, over 204 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start | 3 h 53to the end, median over 451 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 187 of 204 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -3.8 | -0.02 | 41c | -7.7% | 48 |
The 204 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 204 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 22, 2026, EDT | $341 | before 0%in play 100%, over 14 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 49 after the start | 34 minto the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7 | -0.05 | 48c | -15.8% | 48 |
The 14 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,733 | before 0%in play 100%, over 106 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 199 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 99 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -2.5 | -0.02 | 45c | -2.7% | 48 |
The 106 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,009 | before 0%in play 100%, over 111 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 31 after the start | 3 h 35to the end, median over 280 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 104 of 111 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -2.7 | -0.02 | 41c | -8.2% | 48 |
The 111 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 111 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $557 | before 0%in play 100%, over 27 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 14 after the start | 1 h 29to the end, median over 177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1 | -0.04 | 45c | -19.1% | 48 |
The 27 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $5,422 | before <1%in play >99%, over 229 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 1 h 56to the end, median over 540 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 186 of 229 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 229 | 40.2%92 W · 137 L | -6.1 | -0.03 | 43c | -9.7% | 47 |
The 229 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 229 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $642 | before 0%in play 100%, over 37 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min after the start | 1 h 42to the end, median over 102 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.7 | -0.05 | 45c | -12.3% | 47 |
The 37 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $498 | before 0%in play 100%, over 15 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min after the start | 1 h 42to the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8 | -0.12 | 58c | -21.5% | 45 |
The 15 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $1,064 | before 0%in play 100%, over 53 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 3 h 16to the end, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 45 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.4 | -0.08 | 44c | -25.1% | 44 |
The 53 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $366 | before 0%in play 100%, over 28 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 13 after the start | 1 h 54to the end, median over 172 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9 | -0.21 | 42c | -50.4% | 38 |
The 28 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,022 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 4
- What they are worth now
- $16bought for $25
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48worth $0
Its 4 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cairns Taipans vs. New Zealand Breakers (opens in a new tab)backed Cairns Taipans | 10.24 | 41c | 100c | $10 |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 15.32 | 47c | 21c | $3 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 5.35 | 72c | 41c | $2 |
| Yokohama BayStars vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (opens in a new tab)backed Yokohama BayStars | 20.21 | 47c | 1c | $0 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic (opens in a new tab)backed Dino Prizmic · settled | 342.95 | 33c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x0ad0…7206backed outcome 0 | 129.63 | 0c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 68.29 | 41c | $0 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group A (opens in a new tab)backed ex-MANA eSports · settled | 66.9 | 28c | $0 | Counted |
| T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Kandy Royals (opens in a new tab)backed Kandy Royals · settled | 58.3 | 33c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.