Wallet 0x4959…a6f5
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x4959175440b8f38229b32f2f036057f6893ea6f5
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$835,620 staked over 5,062 qualified picks in 52 categories, 18 of 52 below 50.
Best category
Tennis
$9,291 staked over 33 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Tennis boardSecond best
Venezuela
$1,065 staked over 8 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Venezuela boardThird best
Australian A League
$159 staked over 4 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,062 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category52 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $9,291 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 117 of them sold before the market settled | +0.16104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.2 | +0.16 | 57c | +24.9% | 60 |
The 33 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $1,065 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2478% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5 | +0.31 | 44c | +64% | 58 |
The 8 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Mar 6, 2026, EST | $159 | —too few: 4 picks | 7 h 25resells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.5199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1 | +0.51 | 49c | +108.3% | 58 |
The 4 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $40,944 | —too few: 9 picks | 14 dresells, median over 298 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 263 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0897% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3 | +0.08 | 45c | -1.7% | 57 |
The 88 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Apr 30, 2026, EDT | $24,597 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 198 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 163 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 59% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 21 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5 | +0.07 | 49c | -8.7% | 56 |
The 76 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 76 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Apr 18, 2026, EDT | $2,483 | before 100%in play 0%, over 73 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 h 38 before the start | 22 h 36resells, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 111 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 74 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1 | +0.07 | 47c | +14.2% | 56 |
The 74 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 74 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $15,367 | before 99%in play 1%, over 132 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 129 h 01 before the start | 2 dresells, median over 264 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 227 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0589% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 39 of 157 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 157 | 61.1%96 W · 61 L | +9.2 | +0.06 | 55c | +10.7% | 56 |
The 157 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 157 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $13,500 | before 0%in play 100%, over 104 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 126 h 19 after the start | 1 dresells, median over 259 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 172 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0592% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 118 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9 | +0.06 | 53c | +13.3% | 55 |
The 118 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 118 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $795 | —no start of play | 26 dresells, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6 | +0.15 | 49c | +77.6% | 55 |
The 11 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Apr 19, 2026, EDT | $4,135 | before 100%in play 0%, over 90 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 h 23 before the start | 18 h 19resells, median over 154 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 116 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0589% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 41 of 93 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8 | +0.05 | 56c | +9.6% | 55 |
The 93 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 93 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $136,356 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 1,100 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 928 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 110 of 412 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 412 | 55.3%228 W · 184 L | +16.7 | +0.04 | 51c | -5.2% | 54 |
The 412 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 412 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $28,209 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 264 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 205 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 43% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 29 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +4.1 | +0.04 | 42c | -7.1% | 54 |
The 95 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Aug 13, 2026, EDT | $17,676 | —no start of play | 13 dresells, median over 275 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 224 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0490% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 38 of 113 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5 | +0.04 | 55c | -4.1% | 54 |
The 113 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 113 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $21,999 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 163 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 129 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 16% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 30 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.9 | +0.04 | 49c | -7.4% | 54 |
The 67 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $50,694 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 619 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 544 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 49% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 66 of 196 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0 | +0.04 | 44c | +6.5% | 54 |
The 196 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 196 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Dec 20, 2025, EST | $913 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0985% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1 | +0.10 | 62c | +13.6% | 53 |
The 11 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $7,794 | before 96%in play 4%, over 55 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 h 17 before the start | 1 dresells, median over 208 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 162 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0491% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 77 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +3.2 | +0.04 | 56c | +2.8% | 53 |
The 77 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 77 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 28, 2026, EDT | $1,149 | before 100%in play 0%, over 17 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 h 39 before the start | 3 dresells, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0797% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4 | +0.07 | 46c | +5.6% | 53 |
The 21 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $22,560 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 363 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 329 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 57% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 32 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4 | +0.04 | 41c | +1.4% | 53 |
The 92 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Mar 29, 2026, EDT | $1,073 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0676% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 76% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1 | +0.08 | 69c | +14.6% | 53 |
The 13 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $24,327 | —no start of play | 11 dresells, median over 510 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 425 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 55 of 227 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +6.6 | +0.03 | 52c | +5.3% | 53 |
The 227 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 227 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Apr 15, 2026, EDT | $7,523 | before 85%in play 15%, over 41 Chess picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 36 before the start | 8 h 12resells, median over 122 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 75 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 11 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.1 | +0.04 | 47c | -4.6% | 53 |
The 57 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $10,465 | before 100%in play 0%, over 89 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 163 h 49 before the start | 3 dresells, median over 193 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 169 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0287% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 22 of 109 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.0 | +0.03 | 50c | +45.8% | 53 |
The 109 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 109 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled May 27, 2026, EDT | $3,058 | before 100%in play 0%, over 46 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 21 before the start | 1 dresells, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 90 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7 | +0.03 | 55c | +4.6% | 52 |
The 50 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $17,161 | before 100%in play 0%, over 148 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 h 08 before the start | 1 dresells, median over 410 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 340 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0291% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 45 of 184 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2 | +0.02 | 50c | +1.4% | 52 |
The 184 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 184 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Mar 15, 2026, EDT | $222 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5 | +0.10 | 70c | +12.2% | 52 |
The 5 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 26, 2026, EDT | $8,428 | —no start of play | 15 dresells, median over 109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 96 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0398% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9 | +0.03 | 46c | +11.7% | 52 |
The 33 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $69,067 | before 97%in play 3%, over 522 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 00 before the start | 14 h 05resells, median over 3,587 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2,518 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0176% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 76% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 621 of 1,464 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,464 | 57.7%844 W · 620 L | +15.0 | +0.01 | 57c | -0.9% | 51 |
The 1,464 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,464 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Mar 31, 2026, EDT | $1,422 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05248% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 248% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4 | +0.02 | 59c | -9.5% | 51 |
The 18 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $1,419 | —no start of play | 11 dresells, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2 | +0.02 | 35c | -25.4% | 51 |
The 11 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled May 10, 2026, EDT | $4,343 | before 56%in play 44%, over 16 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 02 before the start | 2 dresells, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 37% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 4 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 38c | +53% | 50 |
The 18 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $3,082 | —too few: 3 picks | 4 dresells, median over 111 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 76 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 44c | -1.8% | 50 |
The 25 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $18,950 | —no start of play | 11 dresells, median over 226 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 191 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 9 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 42c | -13.5% | 50 |
The 61 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Jun 19, 2026, EDT | $8,396 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 123 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 114 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 60c | -4.7% | 50 |
The 20 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Apr 12, 2026, EDT | $1,365 | —no start of play | 22 dresells, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 84 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 57c | -22.7% | 50 |
The 7 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $29,182 | —no start of play | 9 dresells, median over 123 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 104 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.2 | -0.01 | 47c | -22.1% | 50 |
The 45 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Apr 19, 2026, EDT | $1,418 | before 100%in play 0%, over 38 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 h 46 before the start | 1 dresells, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 53c | -14.3% | 49 |
The 40 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Jun 11, 2026, EDT | $7,953 | before 100%in play 0%, over 82 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 67 h 39 before the start | 21 h 35resells, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 115 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 30 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6 | -0.01 | 51c | -5.4% | 49 |
The 92 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $10,572 | —too few: 2 picks | 6 dresells, median over 130 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 100 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 53c | +22% | 49 |
The 42 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $6,169 | —no start of play | 11 dresells, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 52 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 54c | -7% | 49 |
The 21 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $1,604 | before 100%in play 0%, over 19 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 70 h 37 before the start | 3 dresells, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 47c | -11.3% | 49 |
The 22 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 25, 2026, EDT | $11,357 | —no start of play | 14 dresells, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 69 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5 | -0.02 | 48c | -21.1% | 49 |
The 24 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $118,714 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 2,013 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,844 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 118 of 381 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 381 | 59.6%227 W · 154 L | -5.2 | -0.01 | 61c | -7.1% | 49 |
The 381 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 381 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $44,524 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 502 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 391 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 160 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | -2.8 | -0.02 | 44c | -11.7% | 48 |
The 160 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 160 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $5,389 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 113 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2 | -0.04 | 44c | -13.7% | 48 |
The 32 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Poker Inactivelast settled Dec 3, 2025, EST | $240 | —no start of play | 5 h 08resells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.30no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.30 | 80c | -37.5% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPO Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $5,929 | —no start of play | 18 dresells, median over 94 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 81 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4 | -0.04 | 54c | -25.5% | 47 |
The 32 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Feb 25, 2026, EST | $249 | —no start of play | 15 dresells, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7 | -0.25 | 25c | -100% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $549 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1 | -0.09 | 42c | -42.4% | 47 |
The 12 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $7,931 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 52 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8 | -0.12 | 45c | -48.8% | 45 |
The 15 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled May 5, 2026, EDT | $2,868 | before 100%in play 0%, over 68 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 h 15 before the start | 10 h 30resells, median over 131 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 108 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2 | -0.06 | 47c | -25.9% | 45 |
The 69 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 69 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $986 | before 100%in play 0%, over 20 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 70 h 33 before the start | 2 dresells, median over 55 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8 | -0.17 | 40c | -45% | 41 |
The 22 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,062 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1,720
- What they are worth now
- $8,669bought for $11,459
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 5worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 1,720, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 5. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x3715…5a10backed outcome 0 | 2.84 | 4c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x3e54…c5d4backed outcome 0 | 2.84 | 4c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x7e95…8cc0backed outcome 0 | 2.84 | 4c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x82e9…6b7cbacked outcome 0 | 2.84 | 4c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xe741…873abacked outcome 0 | 2.84 | 4c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.