Wallet 0x510f…a43c
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x510f4963b66b1b18505faab74b0bb943d1dda43c
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$491,314 staked over 10,050 qualified picks in 47 categories, 27 of 47 below 50.
Best category
Valorant
$542 staked over 18 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardSecond best
Earnings
$1,265 staked over 56 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Earnings boardThird best
UFC
$448 staked over 8 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full UFC boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 10,050 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category47 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $542 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1 | +0.12 | 33c | +72.8% | 56 |
The 18 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $1,265 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 299 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 151 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.8 | +0.07 | 41c | +28.4% | 55 |
The 56 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $448 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14126% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 126% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9 | +0.11 | 39c | -5.3% | 53 |
The 8 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $7,259 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 dresells, median over 201 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 125 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05133% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 133% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 15 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.0 | +0.04 | 37c | -17.5% | 53 |
The 49 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled May 20, 2026, EDT | $206 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.35100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.35 | 65c | +54.9% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $906 | —no start of play | 17 dresells, median over 85 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 50 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12176% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 176% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0 | +0.07 | 33c | -14.9% | 53 |
The 15 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $7,771 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 423 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 201 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 33 of 98 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +3.1 | +0.03 | 40c | -13.5% | 53 |
The 98 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 98 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $255 | —no start of play | 31 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.16100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6 | +0.16 | 34c | -10.5% | 52 |
The 4 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $2,044 | —no start of play | 5 h 39to the end, median over 410 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 175 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0283% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 29 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.0 | +0.03 | 51c | +2.4% | 52 |
The 71 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $8,164 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 385 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 156 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05185% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 185% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 96 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +2.5 | +0.03 | 34c | -32% | 52 |
The 96 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 96 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,815 | —no start of play | 9 dresells, median over 299 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 185 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 36 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.2 | +0.02 | 44c | -0.1% | 52 |
The 92 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $685 | —no start of play | 25 dresells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.28209% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 209% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5 | +0.13 | 37c | -20.8% | 52 |
The 4 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Spacelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $35 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.21100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4 | +0.21 | 29c | +28.2% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,926 | —no start of play | 12 dto the end, median over 508 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 235 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 43 of 140 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +2.5 | +0.02 | 39c | -29.2% | 52 |
The 140 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 140 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT | $8,420 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 136 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 72 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05260% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 260% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7 | +0.02 | 40c | -19.9% | 51 |
The 36 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $21 | —no start of play | 21 h 00to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.30100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.30 | 70c | +42.9% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $35 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.12 | 38c | +6.6% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $30,899 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 1,691 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 964 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03290% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 290% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 206 of 439 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 439 | 42.8%188 W · 251 L | +3.9 | +0.01 | 42c | -17.6% | 51 |
The 439 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 439 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $3,387 | —too few: 1 pick | 6 dto the end, median over 197 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 96 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01422% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 422% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 17 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 41c | -8.3% | 50 |
The 56 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $1,385 | —no start of play | 17 dto the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | +0.042602% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 2602% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 50c | -28.5% | 50 |
The 10 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $2,365 | —no start of play | 10 dresells, median over 202 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 116 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 40c | -33.8% | 50 |
The 43 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $860 | before 84%in play 16%, over 19 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 07 before the start | 19 h 57resells, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 50c | -8% | 50 |
The 20 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT | $593 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 39c | -39.5% | 50 |
The 8 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Jun 11, 2026, EDT | $104 | —no start of play | 12 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.13 | 13c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $65,878 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 952 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 528 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 149 of 323 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -2.4 | -0.01 | 38c | -33.6% | 49 |
The 323 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 323 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $927 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 36 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4 | -0.02 | 31c | -36.7% | 49 |
The 24 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $53 | —no start of play | 43 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.11 | 11c | -100% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $1,183 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4 | -0.04 | 38c | -29.4% | 49 |
The 9 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $44 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.16 | 66c | -26% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $3,926 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 162 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 93 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.1 | -0.03 | 35c | -37.9% | 48 |
The 43 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $15,049 | —no start of play | 14 dresells, median over 954 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 478 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 75 of 234 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 234 | 43.6%102 W · 132 L | -4.6 | -0.02 | 46c | -14.3% | 48 |
The 234 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 234 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $457 | —no start of play | 37 dto the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7 | -0.05 | 27c | -64.1% | 48 |
The 14 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $856 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7 | -0.06 | 39c | -29.9% | 48 |
The 12 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $77 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $44,143 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 2,614 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,305 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 314 of 773 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 773 | 38.3%296 W · 477 L | -17.4 | -0.02 | 41c | -24.2% | 48 |
The 773 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 773 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $2,709 | before 25%in play 75%, over 57 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 h 47 after the start | 1 dresells, median over 376 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 236 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -2.2 | -0.03 | 42c | -23.1% | 47 |
The 64 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 64 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $12,734 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 993 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 457 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 67 of 192 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | -5.6 | -0.03 | 39c | -34.9% | 47 |
The 192 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 192 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $3,083 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 81 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.1 | -0.04 | 32c | -44.9% | 47 |
The 50 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $73 | —too few: 1 pick | 5 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.38no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.38 | 38c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $1,490 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2 | -0.08 | 51c | -39.9% | 47 |
The 14 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,102 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 1,709 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 763 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 166 of 420 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 420 | 33.8%142 W · 278 L | -13.7 | -0.03 | 37c | -36% | 47 |
The 420 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 420 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $29,200 | —no start of play | 6 dresells, median over 1,307 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 717 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 116 of 431 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 431 | 37.4%161 W · 270 L | -14.4 | -0.03 | 41c | -24.4% | 46 |
The 431 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 431 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $25,741 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 1,623 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 767 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 144 of 396 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 396 | 37.6%149 W · 247 L | -13.9 | -0.04 | 41c | -25.5% | 46 |
The 396 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 396 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $2,981 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 73 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.4 | -0.05 | 42c | -31.3% | 46 |
The 65 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT | $1,075 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3 | -0.21 | 38c | -71.5% | 45 |
The 6 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $2,439 | —too few: 5 picks | 32 dto the end, median over 273 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 112 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.2 | -0.06 | 41c | -31.3% | 45 |
The 52 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 52 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $151,702 | before 59%in play 41%, over 5,582 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 32 before the start | 15 h 48to the end, median over 24,104 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9,792 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,728 of 5,649 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5,649 | 34.2%1,934 W · 3,715 L | -308.6 | -0.05 | 40c | -28.2% | 44 |
The 5,649 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 10,050 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5,649 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
This wallet holds more positions than we read. We counted at least 500 running positions and stopped there. So no figure is shown: one side of a hedge could be in the part we did not reach. Wallets this size are almost certainly market makers, not forecasters. The record above is not affected.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.