Wallet 0x5210…bd53
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x521070c99db06e54af5e8e4a91d6858decdfbd53
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$619,538 staked over 24,716 qualified picks in 35 categories, 17 of 35 below 50.
Best category
Weather
$53 staked over 4 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Weather boardSecond best
UFC
$8,026 staked over 300 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full UFC boardThird best
NBA
$6,245 staked over 335 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full NBA boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 24,716 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category35 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather Inactivelast settled May 5, 2026, EDT | $53 | —too few: 4 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 359 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.24100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0 | +0.24 | 76c | +31.9% | 54 |
The 4 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $8,026 | before 100%in play 0%, over 290 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 h 00 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 735 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0399% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 80 of 300 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +9.7 | +0.03 | 51c | +5.9% | 53 |
The 300 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 300 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jul 20, 2026, EDT | $6,245 | before 100%in play 0%, over 328 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 53 before the start | 22 h 58to the end, median over 1,683 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0399% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 74 of 335 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 335 | 56.1%188 W · 147 L | +9.7 | +0.03 | 53c | +6.7% | 53 |
The 335 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 335 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $17,848 | before 100%in play 0%, over 634 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 h 27 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 2,106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 180 of 634 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 634 | 59.8%379 W · 255 L | +16.8 | +0.03 | 57c | +5.4% | 53 |
The 634 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 634 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $12,843 | before 100%in play 0%, over 420 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 h 35 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 1,059 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 99 of 431 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 431 | 54.8%236 W · 195 L | +10.7 | +0.02 | 52c | +2.2% | 53 |
The 431 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 431 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $80 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.53100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.53 | 47c | +111.2% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $17,005 | before 100%in play 0%, over 582 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 h 40 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 2,040 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 207 of 582 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 582 | 56.4%328 W · 254 L | +9.2 | +0.02 | 55c | +3% | 52 |
The 582 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 582 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled May 5, 2026, EDT | $12 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.38100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.38 | 62c | +61.3% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $299 | before 100%in play 0%, over 13 Boxing picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 h 50 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0386% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4 | +0.03 | 50c | +12.8% | 51 |
The 13 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,481 | before 100%in play 0%, over 610 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 54 h 16 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 1,936 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 168 of 610 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 610 | 56.2%343 W · 267 L | +6.9 | +0.01 | 55c | +2% | 51 |
The 610 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 610 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $30,055 | before 100%in play 0%, over 939 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 h 49 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 2,006 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 409 of 939 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 939 | 53.5%502 W · 437 L | +9.5 | +0.01 | 52c | +4.1% | 51 |
The 939 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 939 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $7,991 | before 100%in play 0%, over 291 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 h 08 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 1,032 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 104 of 291 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 291 | 57.4%167 W · 124 L | +2.9 | +0.01 | 56c | +4.2% | 51 |
The 291 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 291 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled May 5, 2026, EDT | $16 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.22 | 78c | +29% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $3,371 | before 100%in play 0%, over 119 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 68 h 53 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 452 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 7% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 21 of 122 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.7 | +0.01 | 54c | 0% | 51 |
The 122 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 122 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $7,707 | before 100%in play 0%, over 326 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 h 02 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 882 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01191% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 191% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 92 of 329 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 329 | 48.3%159 W · 170 L | +1.6 | 0.00 | 48c | -3.3% | 50 |
The 329 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 329 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT | $1,874 | before 100%in play 0%, over 113 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 15 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 524 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 34 of 114 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.3 | 0.00 | 51c | -0.7% | 50 |
The 114 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 114 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $57,961 | before >99%in play <1%, over 2,379 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 h 50 before the start | 21 h 27to the end, median over 5,448 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00118% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 118% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 890 of 2,405 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,405 | 52.5%1,263 W · 1,142 L | +3.4 | 0.00 | 52c | +0.4% | 50 |
The 2,405 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,405 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $17,606 | before >99%in play <1%, over 695 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 21 before the start | 16 h 12to the end, median over 1,822 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00268% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 268% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 229 of 696 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 696 | 51.6%359 W · 337 L | +0.8 | 0.00 | 51c | 0% | 50 |
The 696 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 696 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $70,762 | before 100%in play 0%, over 2,583 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 h 25 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 9,275 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 720 of 3,085 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,085 | 56.9%1,755 W · 1,330 L | -14.6 | 0.00 | 57c | -1.4% | 49 |
The 3,085 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,085 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $125,165 | before 100%in play 0%, over 5,003 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 31 before the start | 16 h 28to the end, median over 12,563 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,852 of 5,098 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5,098 | 46.2%2,355 W · 2,743 L | -36.4 | -0.01 | 47c | -2.5% | 49 |
The 5,098 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5,098 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $11,247 | before 100%in play 0%, over 423 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 h 31 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 1,265 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 165 of 454 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 454 | 51.1%232 W · 222 L | -5.5 | -0.01 | 52c | -0.4% | 49 |
The 454 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 454 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $20,444 | before >99%in play <1%, over 782 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 h 32 before the start | 19 h 43to the end, median over 1,677 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 284 of 783 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 783 | 49.8%390 W · 393 L | -11.6 | -0.01 | 51c | -3.7% | 48 |
The 783 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 783 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $70,850 | before >99%in play <1%, over 3,036 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 13 before the start | 14 h 31to the end, median over 7,379 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,332 of 3,044 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,044 | 48.7%1,481 W · 1,563 L | -52.1 | -0.02 | 50c | -4.6% | 48 |
The 3,044 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,044 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $50,132 | before 99%in play 1%, over 1,903 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 h 05 before the start | 20 h 51to the end, median over 4,724 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 747 of 1,919 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,919 | 49%940 W · 979 L | -34.4 | -0.02 | 51c | -3.8% | 48 |
The 1,919 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,919 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 23, 2026, EDT | $11 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.54no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.55 | 55c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $11,024 | before 100%in play 0%, over 495 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 h 18 before the start | 21 h 38to the end, median over 1,439 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 154 of 495 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 495 | 49.5%245 W · 250 L | -12.7 | -0.03 | 52c | -3.3% | 47 |
The 495 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 495 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $11,007 | before 100%in play 0%, over 429 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 h 08 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 1,452 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 111 of 439 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | -11.5 | -0.03 | 55c | -4.3% | 47 |
The 439 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 439 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $3,166 | before 100%in play 0%, over 119 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 h 45 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 520 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -4.1 | -0.03 | 56c | -3.1% | 47 |
The 119 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 119 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $19,770 | before 100%in play 0%, over 704 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 h 02 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 1,268 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 328 of 707 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 707 | 46.8%331 W · 376 L | -23.2 | -0.03 | 50c | -8.1% | 46 |
The 707 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 707 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $259 | before 100%in play 0%, over 17 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 h 13 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 152 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4 | -0.08 | 55c | -23% | 46 |
The 17 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $3,202 | before 98%in play 2%, over 102 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 h 39 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 490 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 51 of 109 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -4.6 | -0.04 | 49c | -15.1% | 46 |
The 109 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 109 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $1,828 | before 100%in play 0%, over 68 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 02 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 271 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -3.5 | -0.05 | 57c | -11.3% | 46 |
The 68 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $320 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 44 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5 | -0.12 | 50c | -43.5% | 45 |
The 13 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $11,915 | before 100%in play 0%, over 456 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 h 49 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 1,373 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 114 of 456 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 456 | 48.7%222 W · 234 L | -28.9 | -0.06 | 55c | -12.4% | 43 |
The 456 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 456 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $2,965 | before 100%in play 0%, over 100 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 h 59 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 381 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 101 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -10.6 | -0.11 | 58c | -21.2% | 41 |
The 101 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 24,716 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 101 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1,368
- What they are worth now
- $4,918bought for $4,862
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50worth $1,384
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 1,368, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 17,736 | 1c | 1c | $98 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers (opens in a new tab)backed Lotte Giants | 35 | 51c | 91c | $32 |
| Market 0xd1ca…8448backed outcome 1 | 57.86 | 32c | 50c | $29 |
| Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-09-26? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 53.38 | 20c | 54c | $29 |
| Spread: FK Kharkiv (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 50.82 | 65c | 55c | $28 |
| Market 0xeb01…c48cbacked outcome 1 | 31 | 87c | 84c | $26 |
| Orgryte IS vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 9.5 Total Corners (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 50 | 42c | 51c | $25 |
| Market 0x54eb…7c08backed outcome 1 | 49.42 | 62c | 50c | $25 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 25 | 85c | 94c | $23 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 42.13 | 52c | 54c | $23 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0xd6c5…01c6backed outcome 1 | 61.11 | 50c | $31 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xd6d9…f2e6backed outcome 1 | 60.51 | 43c | $30 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x7fb2…9d78backed outcome 1 | 60.35 | 43c | $30 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x184e…66c3backed outcome 1 | 60.34 | 40c | $30 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x55cd…5bc1backed outcome 1 | 60.07 | 63c | $30 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.