TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5266…aac8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
380
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 206 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$38.75
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.8
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
France to score first vs. Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$49.3
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
England to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
France to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.4
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.4
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.18
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Showing 25 of 206 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT11327.4%31 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$38.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$49
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.71
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Málaga CF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Elche CF O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.39
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+77%+$87
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+122.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.19
Will VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.