TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5323…326a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
335
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT8547.1%40 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$129.99
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$220.34
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+74%+$73.98
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.14
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.41
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
First Blood in Game 2?backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.48
First Blood in Game 2?backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.25
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
First Blood in Game 2?backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$72.6
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT7234.7%25 W · 47 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.91
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-6.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$98.89
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$97.6
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$100.1
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.13
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$112.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$70.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$54.82
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$133.55
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.91
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.7
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$137.45
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$81.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mexico vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$256.85
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$81.57
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$65.17
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$90.06
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$76.51
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.5
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+98%+$98.04
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$91.67
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+108%+$64.82
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.98
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.79
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+248.2%+$198.57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$76.57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.94
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+110%+$87.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$65.56
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Sion vs. FK BATE Barysaŭ: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$110.16
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.73
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.79
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$86.47
Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.86
Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.47
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$98.68
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$92.47
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.79
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$72.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$97.5
Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$102.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.