TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5331…3672

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
597
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT31347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 313 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$47.48
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$55.6
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.45
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguetbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.95
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connellbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$176.78
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$82.08
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.76
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$97.41
National Bank Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Cristina Bucsabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.37
National Bank Open: Aoi Ito vs Katherine Sebovbacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
National Bank Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Vancouver: Maddison Inglis vs Taylah Prestonbacked Maddison Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.1
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Renata Zarazuabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.24
National Bank Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.28
National Bank Open, Qualification: Moyuka Uchijima vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Himeno Sakatsume · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.76
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
National Bank Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin Zhubacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$69.47
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Targu Mures: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.39
National Bank Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Lois Boissonbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.34
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$71.33
Showing 25 of 313 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT17540.6%71 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.12
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$194.62
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.6
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.64
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$249.63
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$37.8
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$64.02
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.68
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$35.72
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.78
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.72
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.22
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.45
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.51
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$167.04
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$43.31
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$87.65
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.96
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26.88
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$45.11
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$156.8
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.4
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.7
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.71
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$49.45
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.88
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.96
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.86
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.03
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.12
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$35.98
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$36.36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$107.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$118.93
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$110.34
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+50%+$31.14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+55%+$70.29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$72.88
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$36.2
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$92.04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$13.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.82
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$9.1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+212.6%+$53.15
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$52.38
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Duško Todorovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.77
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Dennis Buzukja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.68
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kyle Prepolec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.61
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.62
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.24
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$107.01
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.28
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.31
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.06
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.74
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.6
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.77
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.44
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.55
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+459.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+459.9%+$1,210.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$180.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.