Wallet 0x551c…fe91
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x551c8f09fffa54889974a101e2af2b92c13dfe91
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,457,574 staked over 5,256 qualified picks in 24 categories, 2 of 24 below 50.
Best category
Ncaa Basketball
$5,862 staked over 83 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.14 per pick.
See the full Ncaa Basketball boardSecond best
NHL
$27,872 staked over 333 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.12 per pick.
See the full NHL boardThird best
NBA
$67,965 staked over 278 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full NBA boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,256 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category24 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $5,862 | before 7%in play 93%, over 83 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 59 after the start | 2 h 48to the end, median over 173 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 44 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 69% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 71 of 83 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6 | +0.18 | 55c | +31.9% | 65 |
The 83 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 83 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 14, 2026, EDT | $27,872 | before 2%in play 98%, over 333 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 32 after the start | 2 h 28to the end, median over 717 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 283 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 49% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 323 of 333 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3 | +0.13 | 50c | +23.5% | 64 |
The 333 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 333 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT | $67,965 | before 3%in play 97%, over 278 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 18 after the start | 1 h 43to the end, median over 526 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 182 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 61% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 267 of 278 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 278 | 62.9%175 W · 103 L | +34.2 | +0.12 | 51c | +18% | 63 |
The 278 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 278 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $72,846 | before 4%in play 96%, over 398 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 1 h 29to the end, median over 716 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 189 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 54% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 396 of 398 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 398 | 55%219 W · 179 L | +36.3 | +0.09 | 46c | +23% | 60 |
The 398 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 398 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $248,531 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,234 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 51 after the start | 1 h 11to the end, median over 2,396 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 700 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 51% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,175 of 1,235 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,235 | 55.5%685 W · 550 L | +95.0 | +0.08 | 48c | +13% | 58 |
The 1,235 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,235 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $15,724 | before 0%in play 100%, over 111 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 after the start | 2 h 44to the end, median over 215 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 51 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 18% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 111 of 111 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +9.3 | +0.08 | 47c | +14.8% | 58 |
The 111 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 111 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $27,048 | before 12%in play 88%, over 26 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 59 after the start | 3 h 40to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5 | +0.13 | 52c | +26.3% | 58 |
The 26 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $701,273 | before 1%in play 99%, over 999 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start | 1 h 41to the end, median over 1,569 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 278 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 20% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,000 of 1,001 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,001 | 51.2%513 W · 488 L | +66.0 | +0.07 | 45c | +11.7% | 57 |
The 1,001 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,001 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $57,102 | before 3%in play 97%, over 317 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 2 h 25to the end, median over 609 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 171 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 315 of 319 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 319 | 53.6%171 W · 148 L | +19.7 | +0.06 | 47c | +15.1% | 56 |
The 319 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 319 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Jul 13, 2026, EDT | $8,310 | before 5%in play 95%, over 40 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 51 after the start | 2 h 29to the end, median over 72 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 41% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 39 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.5 | +0.09 | 51c | +14% | 56 |
The 40 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $62,808 | before <1%in play >99%, over 359 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 1 h 41to the end, median over 600 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 151 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 358 of 363 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 363 | 51%185 W · 178 L | +19.5 | +0.05 | 46c | +20.2% | 56 |
The 363 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 363 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $14,198 | before 3%in play 97%, over 94 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 2 h 34to the end, median over 169 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 94 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.9 | +0.06 | 49c | +7.3% | 56 |
The 94 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 94 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $21,885 | before 1%in play 99%, over 173 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 2 h 38to the end, median over 326 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 82 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 173 of 173 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 173 | 52.6%91 W · 82 L | +9.0 | +0.05 | 47c | -3.6% | 55 |
The 173 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 173 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,972 | before 0%in play 100%, over 145 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 2 h 02to the end, median over 250 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 67 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 6% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 144 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +7.5 | +0.05 | 47c | +42.5% | 55 |
The 145 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 145 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $27,674 | before <1%in play >99%, over 231 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 2 h 16to the end, median over 415 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 91 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 7% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 230 of 231 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +9.1 | +0.04 | 48c | +2.6% | 54 |
The 231 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 231 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 18, 2026, EST | $106 | —too few: 3 picks | 2 h 27to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 38% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0 | +0.32 | 35c | +303.6% | 54 |
The 3 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Apr 12, 2026, EDT | $211 | —too few: 1 pick | 5 h 26to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3185% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.36 | 64c | +56.2% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Jan 24, 2026, EST | $114 | —too few: 1 pick | 4 minresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.60100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.60 | 40c | +150% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,297 | before 0%in play 100%, over 96 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 2 h 07to the end, median over 214 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 89 of 96 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.5 | +0.03 | 53c | +0.4% | 52 |
The 96 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 96 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $44,388 | before 0%in play 100%, over 155 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 1 h 04to the end, median over 280 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 105 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 155 of 155 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | +2.6 | +0.02 | 47c | -2.9% | 52 |
The 155 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 155 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $7,826 | before 11%in play 89%, over 18 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 04 after the start | 42 minto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05241% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 241% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3 | +0.02 | 54c | +5.5% | 51 |
The 18 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $10,216 | before 0%in play 100%, over 80 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 54 after the start | 54 minto the end, median over 165 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 55 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 77 of 80 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.5 | +0.01 | 49c | -10.6% | 51 |
The 80 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 80 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $11,223 | before 0%in play 100%, over 68 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 2 h 52to the end, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 65 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.1 | -0.02 | 52c | -14.1% | 49 |
The 68 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $125 | —too few: 3 picks | 16 minresells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.27 | 61c | -34.5% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,256 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 4
- What they are worth now
- $365bought for $298
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 45worth $0
Its 4 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 407 | 61c | 80c | $324 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 52.93 | 48c | 45c | $24 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 48.49 | 40c | 28c | $14 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 8.56 | 56c | 50c | $4 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 45. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 704.03 | 36c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 486.43 | 35c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x4a4d…8885backed outcome 0 | 237.16 | 26c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 155.49 | 56c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0xbb01…f63dbacked outcome 0 | 119 | 16c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 3 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 2 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.