Wallet 0x5530…d38d
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x55307e57ee66d15af36bc0894bbaca65604dd38d
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,310,597 staked over 8,194 qualified picks in 33 categories, 17 of 33 below 50.
Best category
La Liga
$2,426 staked over 28 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full La Liga boardSecond best
Olympics
$231 staked over 7 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Olympics boardThird best
Champions League
$30,410 staked over 128 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Champions League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 8,194 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category33 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT | $2,426 | before 41%in play 59%, over 27 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min after the start | 4 h 49to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 17 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4 | +0.12 | 45c | +28% | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 28 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $231 | —too few: 7 picks | 3 h 19to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.30109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9 | +0.28 | 58c | +46% | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 7 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled May 5, 2026, EDT | $30,410 | before 79%in play 21%, over 128 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 44 before the start | 8 h 43to the end, median over 167 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 34 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 62 of 128 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7 | +0.05 | 57c | +12.5% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 128 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 128 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jul 12, 2026, EDT | $2,094 | before 29%in play 71%, over 24 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min after the start | 5 h 50to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08132% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 132% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5 | +0.06 | 64c | +3.9% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 24 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 20, 2026, EDT | $1,412 | before 24%in play 76%, over 49 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 3 h 59to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8 | +0.04 | 41c | +19.7% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 49 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $583 | before 47%in play 53%, over 15 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 4 h 11to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9 | +0.06 | 47c | +1.1% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 15 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $4,044 | before 63%in play 37%, over 38 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 6 h 35to the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0396% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.3 | +0.04 | 52c | -3.2% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 38 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 38 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2025, EDT | $21,054 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09120% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 120% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6 | +0.07 | 55c | -7.2% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 8 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 8, 2026, EDT | $2,647 | before 27%in play 73%, over 11 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 3 h 33to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5 | +0.05 | 50c | +29.1% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 11 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $283,949 | before 57%in play 43%, over 2,199 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min before the start | 4 h 53to the end, median over 2,402 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 421 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02121% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 121% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,287 of 2,207 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,207 | 50.3%1,110 W · 1,097 L | +29.9 | +0.01 | 49c | -0.9% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2,207 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,207 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $14,095 | before 61%in play 39%, over 162 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min before the start | 4 h 20to the end, median over 198 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02150% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 150% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 113 of 170 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5 | +0.01 | 49c | -3.9% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 170 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 170 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 18, 2026, EDT | $52,822 | before 1%in play 99%, over 109 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 05 after the start | 2 h 46to the end, median over 303 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 70 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02174% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 174% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 190 of 248 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0 | +0.01 | 61c | +1.9% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 248 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 248 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $7,608 | before 10%in play 90%, over 90 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min after the start | 3 h 06to the end, median over 125 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03206% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 206% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 72 of 90 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1 | +0.01 | 50c | +3.8% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 90 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 90 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $7,078 | before 55%in play 45%, over 110 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min before the start | 4 h 41to the end, median over 127 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01282% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 282% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 59 of 110 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4 | 0.00 | 46c | +11.9% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 110 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 110 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Aug 20, 2026, EDT | $84,953 | before 42%in play 58%, over 598 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 778 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 153 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 328 of 629 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8 | 0.00 | 52c | +1.4% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 629 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 629 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT | $34,227 | before 62%in play 38%, over 181 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min before the start | 6 h 05to the end, median over 213 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 113 of 181 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 52c | +5.4% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 181 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 181 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 15, 2026, EDT | $1,186 | before 56%in play 44%, over 32 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 4 h 24to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 41c | +12.7% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 32 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Dec 24, 2024, EST | $3,256 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.82no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.07 | 7c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 1 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Aug 18, 2026, EDT | $38,504 | before 31%in play 69%, over 419 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 3 h 49to the end, median over 509 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 128 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 306 of 422 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 422 | 49.5%209 W · 213 L | -1.5 | 0.00 | 50c | -2.5% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 422 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 422 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2025, EDT | $26 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 h 45to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.39no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.24 | 24c | -100% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 1 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jul 14, 2026, EDT | $292,051 | before 56%in play 44%, over 1,058 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min before the start | 4 h 46to the end, median over 1,352 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 251 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 736 of 1,059 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,059 | 53.5%567 W · 492 L | -14.1 | -0.01 | 55c | +2.1% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 1,059 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,059 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 8, 2026, EDT | $110,824 | before 36%in play 64%, over 372 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 min after the start | 4 h 15to the end, median over 449 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 255 of 372 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7 | -0.02 | 56c | -4.7% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 372 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 372 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Jan 10, 2026, EST | $7,184 | before 43%in play 57%, over 149 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min after the start | 5 h 16to the end, median over 180 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 91 of 149 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6 | -0.02 | 47c | -5.4% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 149 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 149 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Aug 18, 2026, EDT | $16,610 | before 57%in play 43%, over 206 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min before the start | 3 h 40to the end, median over 229 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 105 of 206 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4 | -0.02 | 44c | +4% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 206 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 206 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $171,442 | before 44%in play 56%, over 1,373 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 1,685 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 488 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,031 of 1,381 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,381 | 51%704 W · 677 L | -23.0 | -0.02 | 53c | -5.1% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 1,381 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,381 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled May 19, 2026, EDT | $73,547 | before 80%in play 20%, over 210 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 04 before the start | 7 h 11to the end, median over 271 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 120 of 211 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0 | -0.02 | 55c | -3.1% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 211 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 211 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Feb 26, 2026, EST | $17,943 | before 71%in play 29%, over 42 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 22 before the start | 5 h 44to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2 | -0.03 | 60c | -6.7% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 42 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 3, 2026, EDT | $1,532 | before 16%in play 84%, over 55 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 3 h 30to the end, median over 108 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9 | -0.03 | 42c | +0.4% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 55 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Parlays Inactivelast settled Sep 2, 2026, EDT | $45 | —no start of play | —no market to hold | —no market price | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7 | -0.18 | 18c | -100% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Boxing Inactivelast settled Feb 16, 2026, EST | $191 | —too few: 2 picks | 1 h 58resells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8 | -0.19 | 44c | -65% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 4 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT | $12,135 | before 43%in play 57%, over 126 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 4 h 14to the end, median over 166 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 70 of 126 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0 | -0.04 | 40c | -10.5% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 126 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 126 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT | $14,003 | before 22%in play 78%, over 174 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start | 3 h 46to the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 128 of 176 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7 | -0.04 | 52c | -11.2% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 176 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 176 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Mar 6, 2026, EST | $486 | before 80%in play 20%, over 10 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 before the start | 6 h 13to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0 | -0.20 | 50c | -60.8% | 44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 10 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,194 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 0
- What they are worth now
- $0bought for $0
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 26worth $0
This wallet holds nothing on a market that is still running. Everything below is settled and waiting to be cashed.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 26. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Sabalenka · settled | 271.71 | 69c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0xf834…323abacked outcome 1 | 171.43 | 24c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Gen.G · settled | 118.3 | 61c | $0 | Counted |
| Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Weibo Gaming · settled | 115.79 | 47c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0xb2f1…f86dbacked outcome 1 | 111.16 | 60c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 3 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 2 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.