TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5652…2aa5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT16157.1%92 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 161 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$9.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.61
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.17
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.88
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$21.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.68
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.13
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$45.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$7.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$14.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.88
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$5.39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$67.77
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 161 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick75cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$5.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.78
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.27
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$37.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$7.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$110.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.