Wallet 0x56ac…d77e
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x56acab44cfca2e88bb9b3406890aea7bfa0cd77e
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$10,477,865 staked over 5,148 qualified picks in 26 categories, 14 of 26 below 50.
Best category
UFC
$39,744 staked over 25 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full UFC boardSecond best
Cricket
$32,563 staked over 44 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Cricket boardThird best
Bundesliga
$53,133 staked over 173 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Bundesliga boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,148 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category26 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $39,744 | before 100%in play 0%, over 25 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 h 09 before the start | 23 h 41to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2298% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +5.6 | +0.23 | 61c | +42.1% | 63 |
The 25 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $32,563 | before 100%in play 0%, over 44 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min before the start | 7 h 39to the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1297% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 44 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.6 | +0.13 | 51c | +23.5% | 59 |
The 44 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 44 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $53,133 | before 100%in play 0%, over 173 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 58 before the start | 13 h 28to the end, median over 229 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0699% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 38 of 173 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +10.2 | +0.06 | 29c | +24.9% | 56 |
The 173 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 173 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $8,474 | —too few: 9 picks | 7 h 17to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3 | +0.14 | 53c | +60.6% | 54 |
The 9 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $150,807 | before 100%in play 0%, over 196 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 00 before the start | 15 h 01to the end, median over 242 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0294% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 67 of 196 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 196 | 34.7%68 W · 128 L | +5.1 | +0.03 | 32c | -7.3% | 53 |
The 196 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 196 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT | $10,441 | —too few: 3 picks | 6 h 51to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1997% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.20 | 47c | +44.7% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $201,644 | before 99%in play 1%, over 246 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 35 before the start | 15 h 07to the end, median over 325 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0294% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 97 of 246 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 246 | 41.5%102 W · 144 L | +5.5 | +0.02 | 39c | -4.3% | 52 |
The 246 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 246 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $3,804,276 | before >99%in play <1%, over 695 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 54 before the start | 15 h 18to the end, median over 975 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 421 of 713 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 713 | 44.3%316 W · 397 L | +14.2 | +0.02 | 42c | +9.9% | 52 |
The 713 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 713 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $126,417 | before 100%in play 0%, over 77 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 00 before the start | 11 h 06to the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 20 of 77 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6 | +0.02 | 51c | +1% | 52 |
The 77 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 77 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $66,454 | before 100%in play 0%, over 54 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 44 before the start | 8 h 43to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0179% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5 | +0.01 | 51c | -0.7% | 51 |
The 54 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Aug 13, 2026, EDT | $6,011 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 38to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.04 | 46c | +25% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $320,588 | before 100%in play 0%, over 342 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 52 before the start | 8 h 53to the end, median over 472 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 228 of 342 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 342 | 41.8%143 W · 199 L | +0.9 | 0.00 | 42c | +1.2% | 50 |
The 342 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 342 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Dec 20, 2025, EST | $30 | —no start of play | 9 h 18to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 2c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $159,523 | before >99%in play <1%, over 319 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 42 before the start | 8 h 54to the end, median over 430 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 226 of 319 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 319 | 40.4%129 W · 190 L | -0.7 | 0.00 | 41c | +3.2% | 50 |
The 319 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 319 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,041,351 | before >99%in play <1%, over 943 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 56 before the start | 6 h 08to the end, median over 985 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 704 of 943 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 943 | 49.2%464 W · 479 L | -2.5 | 0.00 | 49c | -1.2% | 50 |
The 943 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 943 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $65,093 | before 100%in play 0%, over 86 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 h 33 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 94 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 86 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 50c | +0.2% | 50 |
The 86 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 86 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,581,512 | before >99%in play <1%, over 954 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 21 before the start | 6 h 25to the end, median over 1,125 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 604 of 954 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 954 | 49.6%473 W · 481 L | -5.7 | -0.01 | 50c | -3.6% | 49 |
The 954 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 954 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $49,526 | before 100%in play 0%, over 138 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 h 01 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 138 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -1.1 | -0.01 | 43c | +2.8% | 49 |
The 138 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 138 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $305,743 | before 100%in play 0%, over 284 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 31 before the start | 16 h 07to the end, median over 372 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 97 of 284 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 284 | 33.8%96 W · 188 L | -2.3 | -0.01 | 35c | -3.6% | 49 |
The 284 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 284 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $39,937 | before 100%in play 0%, over 93 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 12 before the start | 13 h 23to the end, median over 123 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 93 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9 | -0.01 | 35c | -11.9% | 49 |
The 93 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 93 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $14,295 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 h 50 before the start | 23 h 27to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9 | -0.07 | 42c | +8.1% | 47 |
The 14 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $104,811 | before 100%in play 0%, over 169 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 22 before the start | 9 h 17to the end, median over 206 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 71 of 169 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 169 | 33.7%57 W · 112 L | -4.8 | -0.03 | 37c | -20.4% | 47 |
The 169 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 169 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $126,401 | before 100%in play 0%, over 129 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 49 before the start | 7 h 23to the end, median over 166 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 63 of 129 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -4.3 | -0.03 | 41c | +1.9% | 47 |
The 129 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 129 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT | $1,456 | —too few: 4 picks | 5 h 37to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0 | -0.25 | 50c | -64.3% | 46 |
The 4 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $124,740 | before 100%in play 0%, over 73 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min before the start | 4 h 23to the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 55 of 73 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -9.4 | -0.13 | 44c | -35.6% | 39 |
The 73 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 73 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $42,896 | before 100%in play 0%, over 57 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 11 before the start | 14 h 13to the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -9.1 | -0.16 | 53c | -31.7% | 38 |
The 57 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 78
- What they are worth now
- $25,919bought for $25,385
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 78, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 14,951 | 69c | 70c | $10,391 |
| Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Angers SCO | 2,190 | 82c | 83c | $1,807 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 6,877 | 20c | 21c | $1,410 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 1,900 | 75c | 74c | $1,397 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 1,854 | 69c | 67c | $1,233 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 1,199 | 65c | 70c | $833 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 2,542 | 26c | 32c | $801 |
| Chiefs vs. Seahawks (opens in a new tab)backed Seahawks | 1,349 | 55c | 59c | $789 |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 835.3 | 80c | 82c | $681 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 4,217 | 16c | 16c | $654 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.