TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x571c…b9f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Earnings at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bebop (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$40.61
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.52
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.21
Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Permitta Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Counter-Strike: Color vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Counter-Strike: BOJONG vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Diamant Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked INFURITY Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$56.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.94
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$72.5
Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$34.99
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.03
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$21.66
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will FaZe Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Will Estee Lauder Companies (EL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.36
Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+60%+$18.75
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$47.5
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.47
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$13.72
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.25
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.47
Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$55.92
Will Amazon say "Third Party Seller" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Meta say "Llama" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Meta say "Advertising" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$32.25
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$16.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$27.49
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$24.13
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$79.7
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Cupid Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+55%+$7.87
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Orbit Anonymo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Bohemian Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
LoL: Capybara Esports vs Bubliki (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked Bubliki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$17.69
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$20.75
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$40.67
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$25.32
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$34.5
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$92.35
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+81%+$26.05
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$15.55
Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.62
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.53
Will Francesca Hong win Milwaukee County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42%+$26.35
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$56.08
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$14.42
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$14.1
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$25.56
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.12
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.14
Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.35
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.67
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$5.35
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$66.5
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$13.02
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+104.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+237.1%+$52.75
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$22.95
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$34.4
49ers vs. Chargersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$25.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone say "Villain" during Big Brother E8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.