TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x58aa…a481

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
455
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9164.8%59 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Serghei Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$2,650.18
Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.6
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,273.63
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,000
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,355
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$4,878.44
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,750
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$2,343.2
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$5,337.16
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$1,073.29
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,767.86
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$1,875.34
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$3,887.65
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jingnan Xiong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,604.27
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jaqueline Amorim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,042.37
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Zhu Kangjie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,333.33
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,703.7
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$4,512.16
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$2,042.02
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,000
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$2,030.74
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$833
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$1,594.64
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,230.77
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,934.78
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$2,684.34
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,122.45
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$2,042.02
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,963.64
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,861Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+79%+$2,259.28
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,508.77
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,544.1
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$1,496.09
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$410.62
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$89.62
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61%+$1,219.61
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$3,761.15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,868Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$1,884.05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$261.18
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$499.53
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.69
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.99
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,300
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$90.49
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+120.2%+$3,861.81
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$405.88
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.2%+$365.38
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.7%+$238.42
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+117.6%+$1,176.27
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+73.9%+$1,109.21
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$4,266.34
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$733
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,228.88
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,356.53
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,892
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,546.5
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3860.5%23 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$758.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,479Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$3,893.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+509.8%+$3,823.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,899.95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,409.39
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$298.76
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,003.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,004Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69%+$2,763.91
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+414.2%+$1,243.59
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.93
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$983
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$1,905.43
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$901.82
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$892.83
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,574Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$1,126
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+690.4%+$4,991.27
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$311.52
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$1,385.98
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,839.22
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$2,946.73
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,554.05
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,856.26
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,370
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,703.7
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.73
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$2,946.2
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,076.92
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,500
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$729
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$1,957.83
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,508.77
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,153.85
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.6
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$727.5
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+60.9%+$365.56
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,646.23
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,008.82
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,227.27
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,339.06
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,422Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+106.6%+$1,515.48
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+115.3%+$249.91
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,750
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+26.7%+$93.52
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+163.2%+$815.79
49ers vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,499
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,022.73
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$638.89
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,311
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+100.3%+$1,003.44
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$896
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$492.75
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$9,640.27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,468Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$825.53
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,850
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,703Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,393.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$430.89
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$448.05
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$474
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$833.33
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$320.15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$625.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$163.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+95.4%+$1,192.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+138.1%+$2,761.9
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$684.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$3,417.79
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,019.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$76.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,001.6
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$890
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,875Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,174.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,927.24
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,848.94
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$323.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+56%+$263.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39.8%+$994.91
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$3,966.91
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+194.7%+$5,841.91
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$780.8
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$113.58
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$319
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$243.99
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
BNP Paribas Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,908Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.5%+$1,020.25
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$93.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,559.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,687Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+136%+$2,295.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,844Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$4,275.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$216.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,739Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$2,183.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,464.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$854.91
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.61
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,972.47
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$57.9
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$947.37
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$546
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$355
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$110.52
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$277.31
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.32
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+98.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+84.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+99.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,131.58
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$364.71
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$638.13
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$762.6
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.52
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-60%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+195.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,598.36
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,399.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$2,838.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,511.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,049.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$73.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,633
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.