TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x594e…1c11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
791
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 73 out of 100 (+0.21 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 73 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT66144.5%294 W · 367 L+57.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 661 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.89
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.6
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$35.58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+571.1%+$91.05
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$41.93
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+334.5%+$84.18
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$865.38
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$18.92
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75%+$552.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Showing 25 of 661 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+114.1%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.98
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)backed Mjallby AIF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$147
Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$23.17
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92%+$202.42
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)backed Rosenborg BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$55.91
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)backed SK Brann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$658.35
Spread: IK Start (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$66.24
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+233%+$32.36
Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)backed Viborg FF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$29.38
Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)backed Odense BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88%+$14.29
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)backed Molde FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$22.67
Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)backed Viking FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$54.18
Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)backed FC Midtjylland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$20.86
FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+429.9%+$272.37
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)backed Aarhus GF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$69.27
Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)backed FC Nordsjælland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+206.9%+$350.22
Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)backed Viborg FF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$133.4
Spread: Viborg FF (-2.5)backed Brøndby IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$47.13
Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)backed Silkeborg IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+509.5%+$54.78
Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)backed Odense BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Spread: FC København (-2.5)backed Odense BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$21.27
Vejle BK vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Vejle BK vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$47.02
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.13
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,148.09
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.32
Will Australia come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.62
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$800.95
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.9
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,904Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$1,791.62
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,895Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+233.9%+$4,431.63
Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.84
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$2,215.23
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,875.72
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$1,223.75
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,158.33
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,743Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$1,108.23
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.56
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.04
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.83
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$9.04
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,691.28
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,538.79
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$651.57
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.38
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+92.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)backed Toronto FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$48.37
Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)backed Austin FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)backed Los Angeles FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Spread: New England Revolution (-2.5)backed Columbus Crew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$40.88
New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)backed Toronto FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+132%+$90.29
Toronto FC vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)backed Houston Dynamo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.33
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)backed Colorado Rapids SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140.07
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+712.3%+$93.19
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)backed New York City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+402.5%+$114.71
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)backed Toronto FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$64.97
Toronto FC vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+231.5%+$154.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.82
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+824.1%+$219.09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+102.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)backed RC Deportivo La Coruña · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+99%+$96.62
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$81.86
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$61.5
Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)backed RC Deportivo La Coruña · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$28.95
Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)backed FC Andorra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+306.8%+$389.29
Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)backed UD Las Palmas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+303.6%+$81.36
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)backed Albacete Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.42
Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)backed Albacete Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erjavec vs. Ivantsiv: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$16.13
Set 1 Winner: Erjavec vs Ivantsivbacked Ivantsiv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set 1 Winner: Houkes vs Kolarbacked Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$7.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$93
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)backed Shanghai Haigang FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$5.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: VfL Bochum (-2.5)backed DSC Arminia Bielefeld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$16.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.