Wallet 0x5a21…9318

https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318

Polymarket

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$3,874,409 staked over 17,691 qualified picks in 46 categories, 14 of 46 below 50.

Best category

Us Politics

$79,295 staked over 22 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full Us Politics board

Second best

MLB

$37,215 staked over 480 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full MLB board

Third best

Ukraine

$15,442 staked over 39 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full Ukraine board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Not worked out for this wallet. It has 17,691 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.

Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.

Record by category46 Categories

The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.

What these columns mean

Category: The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked: The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets: Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds: How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price: What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks: Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate: How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected: Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge: Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry: The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick: The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score: The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.

Category

Staked

When it bets

Holds

At your price

Qualified picks

Win rate

vs expected

Realizable edge

Avg entry

ROI per pick

Tail Score

Us Politicslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT

$79,295

—no start of play

8 dto the end

+0.1787% kept

63.6%14 W · 8 L

+4.2

+0.19

45c

+32.6%

The 22 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT

$37,215

before 6%in play 94%

1 h 39to the end

+0.01out of reach

480

54.2%260 W · 220 L

+31.6

+0.07

48c

+14.2%

The 480 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 480 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$15,442

—no start of play

34 dto the end

+0.06out of reach

43.6%17 W · 22 L

+3.8

+0.10

34c

-17.6%

The 39 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$446,134

before 60%in play 40%

1 dto the end

-0.04out of reach

10,192

52.7%5,367 W · 4,825 L

+546.5

+0.05

47c

-7.6%

The 10,192 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10,192 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT

$6,959

—no start of play

8 dto the end

+0.02out of reach

36.1%13 W · 23 L

+2.7

+0.08

29c

-26.3%

The 36 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Token Launches Inactivelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT

$6,225

—no start of play

2 dto the end

+0.05out of reach

50%9 W · 9 L

+1.9

+0.11

39c

-6.7%

The 18 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Tweetslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$118,216

—no start of play

4 dto the end

-0.03out of reach

579

50.6%293 W · 286 L

+25.6

+0.04

46c

-6.1%

The 579 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 579 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$191,787

before 22%in play 78%

2 h 28to the end

+0.01out of reach

325

49.2%160 W · 165 L

+14.3

+0.04

45c

+13.3%

The 325 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 325 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Middle Eastlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT

$432,368

—no start of play

6 dto the end

0.00out of reach

287

42.5%122 W · 165 L

+10.9

+0.04

39c

-9.1%

The 287 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 287 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT

$16,617

—no start of play

13 dto the end

+0.02out of reach

58.7%27 W · 19 L

+2.3

+0.05

54c

-3.2%

The 46 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT

$3,409

—no start of play

6 dto the end

+0.03out of reach

60.9%14 W · 9 L

+1.5

+0.06

54c

+3.8%

The 23 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

World Politicslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$260,498

—no start of play

2 dto the end

-0.03out of reach

1,077

50.2%541 W · 536 L

+30.5

+0.03

47c

-12.4%

The 1,077 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,077 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

CS2last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT

$43,104

—too few: 2 picks

8 dto the end

+0.03out of reach

64.5%20 W · 11 L

+1.5

+0.05

60c

+4.4%

The 31 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Musiclast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$15,398

—no start of play

5 dto the end

+0.02out of reach

47.6%39 W · 43 L

+2.7

+0.03

44c

+0.7%

The 82 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 82 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST

$1,930

—no start of play

6 h 45to the end

+0.26146% kept

75%3 W · 1 L

+0.7

+0.18

57c

+31.9%

The 4 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Commoditieslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT

$53,032

—no start of play

11 dto the end

-0.01out of reach

137

41.6%57 W · 80 L

+3.9

+0.03

39c

-13%

The 137 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 137 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT

$6,648

—no start of play

10 dto the end

-0.02out of reach

58.8%10 W · 7 L

+0.9

+0.06

53c

-0.7%

The 17 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT

$14,754

—no start of play

6 dto the end

-0.01out of reach

53.7%51 W · 44 L

+2.7

+0.03

51c

-11.4%

The 95 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT

$183

—too few: 9 picks

1 h 03to the end

+0.05out of reach

55.6%5 W · 4 L

+0.7

+0.08

48c

+1.7%

The 9 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 26, 2026, EDT

$10,681

—no start of play

7 dto the end

+0.02out of reach

42.9%9 W · 12 L

+0.9

+0.04

39c

-9%

The 21 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT

$1,559,429

before 34%in play 66%

2 h 58to the end

-0.03out of reach

2,635

33%869 W · 1,766 L

+44.2

+0.02

31c

-18.9%

The 2,635 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,635 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

IPOlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$33,675

—no start of play

9 dto the end

-0.02out of reach

42.6%20 W · 27 L

+1.0

+0.02

40c

-11.9%

The 47 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 47 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT

$191

—too few: 8 picks

31 minto the end

0.00out of reach

50%4 W · 4 L

+0.5

+0.06

44c

-5.1%

The 8 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NFLlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT

$11,985

before 19%in play 81%

3 h 07to the end

+0.01out of reach

212

50.9%108 W · 104 L

+3.1

+0.01

49c

-5.2%

The 212 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 212 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Golf Inactivelast settled Jun 21, 2026, EDT

$852

—too few: 8 picks

2 dto the end

-0.01out of reach

66.7%6 W · 3 L

+0.4

+0.05

62c

+0.2%

The 9 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

WNBAlast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT

$1,346

—no start of play

75 dto the end

0.00out of reach

40%2 W · 3 L

+0.2

+0.05

35c

-42.2%

The 5 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT

$10,744

—too few: 9 picks

5 dto the end

-0.01out of reach

45.9%17 W · 20 L

+0.5

+0.01

45c

-20.3%

The 37 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Venezuela Inactivelast settled Jan 13, 2026, EST

$900

—no start of play

3 dto the end

-0.08out of reach

50%2 W · 2 L

+0.2

+0.05

45c

-20%

The 4 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT

$920

—no start of play

3 h 19to the end

+0.06208% kept

33.3%1 W · 2 L

+0.1

+0.03

31c

-44.7%

The 3 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT

$1,617

before 0%in play 100%

1 h 38to the end

-0.03out of reach

42.9%12 W · 16 L

+0.1

0.00

42c

-7.8%

The 28 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT

$1,552

—no start of play

3 dto the end

+0.02100% kept

66.7%2 W · 1 L

+0.1

+0.02

65c

-13.5%

The 3 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT

$684

before 7%in play 93%

1 h 27to the end

-0.09out of reach

41.2%7 W · 10 L

+0.1

0.00

41c

-32%

The 17 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Stockslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT

$1,670

—no start of play

2 h 26to the end

+0.02no edge

60%6 W · 4 L

-0.1

-0.01

61c

-9.4%

The 10 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT

$96,428

—no start of play

12 dto the end

-0.06no edge

40%8 W · 12 L

-0.2

-0.01

41c

-40.9%

The 20 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Us Midtermslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$65,878

—no start of play

21 dto the end

-0.04no edge

237

39.2%93 W · 144 L

-1.2

-0.01

40c

-20%

The 237 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 237 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

AIlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$207,455

—no start of play

11 dto the end

-0.05no edge

432

33.8%146 W · 286 L

-2.3

-0.01

34c

-35.9%

The 432 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 432 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

College Football Inactivelast settled Jan 20, 2026, EST

$649

—too few: 1 pick

6 h 53to the end

0.00no edge

33.3%1 W · 2 L

-0.2

-0.06

39c

-57.5%

The 3 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT

$1,817

—no start of play

6 dto the end

-0.04no edge

50%7 W · 7 L

-0.3

-0.02

52c

-11.6%

The 14 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT

$333

—too few: 6 picks

25 minto the end

-0.10no edge

50%3 W · 3 L

-0.2

-0.04

54c

-33.1%

The 6 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT

$722

—no start of play

3 dto the end

-0.08no edge

25%1 W · 3 L

-0.3

-0.08

33c

-68%

The 4 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Movieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT

$79,267

—no start of play

4 dto the end

-0.05no edge

295

39.3%116 W · 179 L

-4.6

-0.02

41c

-34.1%

The 295 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 295 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

F1 Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT

$95

—no start of play

2 dto the end

-0.33no edge

0%0 W · 3 L

-0.4

-0.14

14c

-100%

The 3 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Champions Leaguelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT

$14,131

before 0%in play 100%

1 h 02to the end

-0.01no edge

44%11 W · 14 L

-1.1

-0.05

49c

-6.3%

The 25 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Parlayslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT

$2,997

—no start of play

—no market to hold

—no market price

39.7%23 W · 35 L

-2.0

-0.03

43c

+23.2%

Settled	Ticket	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) AND Jaguars vs. Bengals2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	19c	$69	-100%	-$68.87
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees AND Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-09-25?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	37c	$10	-100%	-$10.2
Oct 8, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group B2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$31	+134.2%	+$41.35
Oct 8, 2026, EDT	Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 3.5 Corners AND Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	16c	$64	-100%	-$64.31
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Operário Ferroviário EC leading at halftime?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$21	-100%	-$20.64
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	CA Barracas Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5 AND Colts vs. Chiefs2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	58c	$10	-100%	-$10.01
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Bay FC vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$62	-100%	-$62.28
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-21?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	36c	$200	-100%	-$199.53
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$41	+68.6%	+$28
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Delaware State vs. South Florida AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$310	-100%	-$310.18
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Wagner vs. California AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$95	-100%	-$95.44
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Kent State vs. Ohio State AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$119	-100%	-$119.3
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Murray State vs. Oklahoma State AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$101	-100%	-$100.58
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Tunisia vs. Mali: O/U 4.5 AND Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: O/U 0.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$10	+187.5%	+$19.33
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$10	-100%	-$10.01
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Michigan State vs. Notre Dame AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$22	-100%	-$22.01
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	USC vs. Rutgers AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$127	-100%	-$126.9
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Charlotte vs. Appalachian State AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	41c	$21	-100%	-$21.4
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Buffalo vs. Penn State2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$313	-100%	-$312.62
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$22	-100%	-$22.02
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$21	-100%	-$21.48
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$21	-100%	-$21.48
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$26	-100%	-$25.67
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	CD Leganés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 5.5 AND Asian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	18c	$16	+449.6%	+$71.22
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Spread: Al Ain FC (-2.5) AND Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-09-16?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	68c	$35	-100%	-$34.66
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5 AND Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$42	-100%	-$41.92
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar: O/U 0.5 AND Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$88	-100%	-$88.21
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina AND Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$10	+89.7%	+$9.18
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 12.5 Total Corners AND FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Sandefjord Fotball O/U 2.52 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	24c	$20	-100%	-$19.58
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	1st Half Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) AND Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	24c	$14	-100%	-$14.36
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	China Open, Qualification: Rigele Te vs James Duckworth AND Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-27?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	12c	$10	+725.5%	+$75.89
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns AND Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-13?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	30c	$18	-100%	-$17.65
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: Bills (-1.5) AND Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-09-13?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$134	-100%	-$133.98
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) AND LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	55c	$132	-100%	-$132
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) AND Exact Score: 07 Vestur Sorvagur 3 - 2 KI Klaksvik?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$10	-100%	-$10.24
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) AND Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 3 Gil Vicente FC?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$59	-100%	-$59.19
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	1st Half Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5) AND Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-13?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	27c	$43	-100%	-$42.54
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A AND Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	36c	$10	-100%	-$10.31
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics AND Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$10	-100%	-$10.18
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Not A Squad Esports vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 Winner AND Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	76c	$10	+31.7%	+$3.21
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner AND LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$10	-100%	-$10.01
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner AND LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$10	-100%	-$10.01
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	M25 Guiyang: Yun Seong Chung vs Alibek Kachmazov AND CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: Draw at halftime?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	68c	$44	+47.4%	+$20.93
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5) AND New England Revolution vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	72c	$109	+39.7%	+$43.2
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres AND San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	13c	$26	+672.6%	+$174.27
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	12c	$24	+740%	+$176.41
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF: O/U 1.5 AND Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Sergio Callejon2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$24	+65.6%	+$16.04
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox AND Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	41c	$16	+144.5%	+$22.41
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$56	+120.5%	+$67.04
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Howard vs. Indiana2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	47c	$41	+112.3%	+$46.12
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Marist vs. Lafayette2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	47c	$30	+112.3%	+$34
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Tennessee-Martin vs. West Virginia2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	46c	$51	+115.1%	+$59.16
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Sheffield United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 5.5 AND Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	74c	$10	+35.2%	+$3.59
Sep 12, 2026, EDT	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	20c	$16	+409.3%	+$63.98
Sep 12, 2026, EDT	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	37c	$30	+172.2%	+$52.36
Sep 11, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: MORROW vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	38c	$65	+162%	+$105.72
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5) AND Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	52c	$27	+92.1%	+$24.81
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	46c	$19	+119.8%	+$23.3
All 58 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.

China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT

$17,403

—no start of play

31 dto the end

-0.11no edge

33.3%8 W · 16 L

-1.3

-0.06

39c

-40.9%

The 24 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT

$1,776

before 0%in play 100%

59 minto the end

-0.10no edge

28.1%9 W · 23 L

-3.2

-0.10

38c

-50.4%

The 32 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 17,691 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

What this wallet holds right now

Last asked 1 hour ago.

This wallet holds more positions than we read. We counted at least 500 running positions and stopped there. So no figure is shown: one side of a hedge could be in the part we did not reach. Wallets this size are almost certainly market makers, not forecasters. The record above is not affected.

These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
The position was at least $10.
The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.

Wallet 0x5a21…9318

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category46 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Wallet 0x5a21…9318

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category46 Categories

What this wallet holds right now