Wallet 0x5b63…11a4
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$19,501,551 staked over 28,507 qualified picks in 52 categories, 35 of 52 below 50.
Best category
Mls
$6,888 staked over 54 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Mls boardSecond best
Macro Indicators
$4,649 staked over 57 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Macro Indicators boardThird best
Ligue 1
$24,040 staked over 128 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Ligue 1 boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 28,507 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category52 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $6,888 | before 52%in play 48%, over 54 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min before the start | 3 h 14to the end, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.6 | +0.08 | 47c | +8.5% | 56 |
The 54 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,649 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0693% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.5 | +0.06 | 48c | +1.2% | 55 |
The 57 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $24,040 | before 55%in play 45%, over 128 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 min before the start | 2 h 23to the end, median over 210 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0388% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 49 of 128 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +5.1 | +0.04 | 43c | +10.2% | 54 |
The 128 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 128 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $63,270 | before 48%in play 52%, over 301 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 3 h 33to the end, median over 519 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 137 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 135 of 301 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 301 | 48.8%147 W · 154 L | +10.7 | +0.04 | 45c | +0.5% | 54 |
The 301 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 301 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $119,131 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 492 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 134 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 119 of 273 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 273 | 30.8%84 W · 189 L | +8.6 | +0.03 | 28c | -28.7% | 53 |
The 273 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 273 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $126,704 | before 70%in play 30%, over 478 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 39 before the start | 5 h 16to the end, median over 726 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 103 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 218 of 478 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 478 | 43.5%208 W · 270 L | +13.8 | +0.03 | 41c | -4% | 53 |
The 478 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 478 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $121,302 | before 54%in play 46%, over 350 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min before the start | 3 h 33to the end, median over 600 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 105 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 157 of 350 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 350 | 50%175 W · 175 L | +9.2 | +0.03 | 47c | +2.6% | 53 |
The 350 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 350 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $5,954 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0384% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.0 | +0.04 | 23c | -20.1% | 52 |
The 26 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $115,750 | before 63%in play 37%, over 412 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 00 before the start | 4 h 38to the end, median over 661 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 139 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0282% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 82% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 173 of 412 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 412 | 46.6%192 W · 220 L | +7.9 | +0.02 | 45c | +2.5% | 52 |
The 412 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 412 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $331,824 | before 79%in play 21%, over 559 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 47 before the start | 9 h 10to the end, median over 849 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 127 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 66% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 198 of 596 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 596 | 41.1%245 W · 351 L | +9.0 | +0.02 | 40c | -8.8% | 52 |
The 596 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 596 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $42,701 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 326 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 112 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 42 of 137 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | +1.7 | +0.01 | 34c | -11.3% | 51 |
The 137 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 137 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $46,040 | before 49%in play 51%, over 201 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 3 h 55to the end, median over 338 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 74 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 42% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 111 of 201 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3 | +0.01 | 43c | -9.2% | 51 |
The 201 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 201 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $50,028 | before 88%in play 12%, over 26 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 18 before the start | 16 h 38to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 49c | +10.2% | 51 |
The 26 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $126,276 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 523 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 102 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 71 of 261 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 261 | 25.3%66 W · 195 L | +1.6 | +0.01 | 25c | -28.2% | 51 |
The 261 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 261 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $50,107 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 180 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 37% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 25 of 91 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5 | 0.00 | 31c | -36.8% | 50 |
The 91 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 91 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $8,463 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 32% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 20c | -57.8% | 50 |
The 39 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $205 | —no start of play | 29 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01132% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 132% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0 | +0.01 | 19c | -73.3% | 50 |
The 5 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $9,681 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 136 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 32c | -17.4% | 50 |
The 63 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $232 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 52c | -34.8% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $25,943 | before 43%in play 57%, over 162 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 3 h 35to the end, median over 303 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 66 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 83 of 162 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 49c | +3.4% | 50 |
The 162 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 162 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $396,485 | before 79%in play 21%, over 803 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 05 before the start | 8 h 54to the end, median over 1,109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 142 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 274 of 807 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 807 | 37.5%303 W · 504 L | -3.1 | 0.00 | 38c | -9% | 50 |
The 807 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 807 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $257,459 | before 30%in play 70%, over 1,144 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 3 h 33to the end, median over 1,655 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 273 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 834 of 1,144 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,144 | 43.1%493 W · 651 L | -8.8 | -0.01 | 44c | -12.3% | 49 |
The 1,144 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,144 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $40,309 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 284 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 94 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 149 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 149 | 26.8%40 W · 109 L | -1.6 | -0.01 | 28c | -27.5% | 49 |
The 149 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 149 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $810,465 | before 74%in play 26%, over 770 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 44 before the start | 9 h 35to the end, median over 1,099 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 177 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 494 of 809 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 809 | 44.3%358 W · 451 L | -8.8 | -0.01 | 45c | -15.2% | 49 |
The 809 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 809 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $17,051 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 97 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 22c | -64.7% | 49 |
The 39 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $7,650,724 | before 77%in play 23%, over 930 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 31 before the start | 21 h 00to the end, median over 1,922 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 266 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 465 of 1,380 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,380 | 33.4%461 W · 919 L | -17.1 | -0.01 | 35c | -24.4% | 49 |
The 1,380 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,380 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $97,618 | before 72%in play 28%, over 429 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 09 before the start | 5 h 05to the end, median over 665 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 78 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 229 of 439 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 439 | 41.7%183 W · 256 L | -6.2 | -0.01 | 43c | -16% | 49 |
The 439 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 439 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $136,820 | before 48%in play 52%, over 707 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 19to the end, median over 983 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 171 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 467 of 707 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 707 | 44.4%314 W · 393 L | -10.1 | -0.01 | 46c | -6.9% | 48 |
The 707 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 707 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $1,863,711 | before 54%in play 46%, over 2,628 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min before the start | 3 h 23to the end, median over 3,721 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 689 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,691 of 2,636 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,636 | 39.6%1,045 W · 1,591 L | -37.8 | -0.01 | 41c | -14.9% | 48 |
The 2,636 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,636 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,974,686 | before 41%in play 59%, over 7,551 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 3 h 02to the end, median over 10,438 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,693 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5,206 of 7,585 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7,585 | 41.9%3,176 W · 4,409 L | -108.6 | -0.01 | 43c | -15.9% | 48 |
The 7,585 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7,585 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $23,354 | before 87%in play 13%, over 148 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 04 before the start | 20 h 18to the end, median over 236 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 44 of 149 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 149 | 26.8%40 W · 109 L | -2.7 | -0.02 | 29c | -27.5% | 48 |
The 149 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 149 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $756,703 | before 38%in play 62%, over 3,076 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 4,348 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 943 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,259 of 3,076 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,076 | 45.7%1,406 W · 1,670 L | -50.3 | -0.02 | 47c | -7.7% | 48 |
The 3,076 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,076 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $234,319 | before 70%in play 30%, over 688 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 59 before the start | 5 h 06to the end, median over 1,024 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 148 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 313 of 692 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 692 | 37.3%258 W · 434 L | -12.3 | -0.02 | 39c | -16.6% | 48 |
The 692 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 692 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $4,906 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.1 | -0.04 | 16c | -71.4% | 48 |
The 25 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $73,062 | before 57%in play 43%, over 120 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min before the start | 3 h 32to the end, median over 177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 59 of 120 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.3 | -0.03 | 51c | -8% | 47 |
The 120 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 120 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT | $807 | —no start of play | 10 h 35to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8 | -0.09 | 43c | -27.2% | 47 |
The 9 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT | $13,214 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 136 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -2.2 | -0.03 | 26c | -55.8% | 47 |
The 67 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $67,338 | before 58%in play 42%, over 180 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min before the start | 2 h 55to the end, median over 343 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 54 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 80 of 181 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | -5.3 | -0.03 | 48c | -12.8% | 47 |
The 181 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 181 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $41,388 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 771 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 302 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 190 of 444 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 444 | 25%111 W · 333 L | -13.9 | -0.03 | 28c | -20.9% | 47 |
The 444 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 444 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $142,565 | before 53%in play 47%, over 390 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min before the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 588 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 67 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 172 of 397 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 397 | 39%155 W · 242 L | -14.3 | -0.04 | 43c | -19.8% | 46 |
The 397 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 397 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $203,516 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 646 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 168 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 66 of 217 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 217 | 27.2%59 W · 158 L | -8.4 | -0.04 | 31c | -33% | 46 |
The 217 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 217 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $292,356 | before 73%in play 27%, over 344 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 before the start | 5 h 34to the end, median over 505 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 114 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 122 of 365 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 365 | 44.7%163 W · 202 L | -14.0 | -0.04 | 48c | -11.4% | 46 |
The 365 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 365 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $766,222 | before 57%in play 43%, over 2,451 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min before the start | 5 h 14to the end, median over 3,120 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 523 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,469 of 2,451 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,451 | 44.8%1,098 W · 1,353 L | -92.6 | -0.04 | 49c | -14.5% | 46 |
The 2,451 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,451 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $30,360 | before 40%in play 60%, over 581 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 33 after the start | 20 h 00to the end, median over 3,770 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 856 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 231 of 595 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 595 | 37.8%225 W · 370 L | -23.6 | -0.04 | 42c | -19% | 46 |
The 595 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 595 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 5, 2026, EDT | $37,943 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3 | -0.11 | 40c | -40.7% | 44 |
The 21 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $4,086 | —too few: 4 picks | 4 dto the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0 | -0.16 | 39c | -60.9% | 44 |
The 13 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,398 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2 | -0.15 | 42c | -37.7% | 44 |
The 15 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT | $199,425 | —no start of play | 19 dto the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -5.1 | -0.08 | 17c | -81.4% | 44 |
The 64 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 64 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $23,469 | before 39%in play 61%, over 46 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 44 after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 126 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -6.7 | -0.09 | 17c | -77.6% | 43 |
The 76 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 76 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $10,889 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 194 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 17.2%15 W · 72 L | -7.6 | -0.09 | 26c | -58.2% | 42 |
The 87 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $45,962 | before 44%in play 56%, over 54 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 6 h 20to the end, median over 99 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.5 | -0.10 | 44c | -33.8% | 42 |
The 54 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $3,756 | before 50%in play 50%, over 32 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 4 h 45to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.2 | -0.23 | 41c | -55.4% | 36 |
The 32 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 28,507 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1,095
- What they are worth now
- $392,589bought for $419,704
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 1,095, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti (opens in a new tab)backed Tallon Griekspoor · settled | 4,212 | 6c | $0 | Counted |
| Athens Open, Qualification: Mina Hodzic vs Hao-Ching Chan (opens in a new tab)backed Hao-Ching Chan · settled | 1,950 | 2c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x7683…5769backed outcome 0 | 1,825 | 10c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x2383…6d1dbacked outcome 0 | 521.74 | 11c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xeff5…beedbacked outcome 1 | 521.15 | 17c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 3 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.