TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c6e…0617

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT7356.2%41 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,996Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$1,539.34
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,347.56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.82
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,107.58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,248.63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$2,395.21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,548Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$5,403.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$783
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,242.29
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$319.9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$632.8
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11,392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$5,446.18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$122.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$137.2
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49%+$678.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.72
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,453.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,274.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+278.6%+$1,350.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+144.7%+$1,654.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+148.6%+$376.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,817.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.3%+$1,032.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,860.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,871.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$992.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,011.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,097.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+193.8%+$739.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$1,043.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,205.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$922.67
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.62
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.32
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+272.2%+$1,361.08
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$139.54
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$66.5
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+101.6%+$2,218
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$439.99
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,223.27
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,273.53
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,829.99
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+76.2%+$2,605.09
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$290.7
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,645Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.2%+$1,275.96
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,489.31
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$506.4
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.9
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$403
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.99
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.6
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$397.51
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$139.6
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$97
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$332.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+127%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$967.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$143.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$41.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$258
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.