Serie A · one pick
Wallet 0x5d4c…57ac got this right.
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x5d4c2eec37189101707431e4b2b12b4e706b57ac/m/0xe5a03b980a7f048fafa4f3ef1cad3d7a7c796cfb390e110ce39dbeb7a2a34232
Rebuilt .
What this wallet called, and what happened
- Backed
- Overat 65c — the average price it paid on that side
- What happened
- Over won · US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Position
- 172.77 shares$112 spent on the side it backed
- P/L held to resolution
- +$60.47+53.8% on this pick, not cash withdrawn
TailMyPicks grades a pick on the market’s winning outcome whether or not the wallet sold beforehand — buying the winner at 40c and selling at 80c is still a correct forecast. Backed is the side left once opposing buys cancel each other share for share, so a fully hedged market yields no pick at all.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
One call is not a record. Here is this wallet’s whole Serie A record.
| Wallet | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5d4c…57acin Serie A | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
These 7 columns describe every qualified pick this wallet holds in Serie A and say nothing about the market above. vs expected is the number of wins over what the prices it paid already implied, which is what separates a forecaster from somebody who bought favourites.
From here
- This wallet’s whole record, category by categoryEvery category it is scored in, with the ones below 50 counted as loudly as the ones above.
- Everyone who was on this market99 wallets hold a qualified pick here, largest position first, each with its Serie A record.
- Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The venue’s own page for the question. TailMyPicks never calls Polymarket while rendering — this is a link you follow, not a request this page makes.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.