Wallet 0x5e02…b178
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x5e020e19bc4cc2cd24ab9b406604ee9df02ab178
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$192,658 staked over 3,981 qualified picks in 24 categories, 13 of 24 below 50.
Best category
Us Midterms
$187 staked over 2 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Us Midterms boardSecond best
Champions League
$8,366 staked over 175 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Champions League boardThird best
MLB
$15,441 staked over 221 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full MLB boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,981 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category24 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Jun 5, 2026, EDT | $187 | —no start of play | 31 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.72100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4 | +0.72 | 28c | +335.8% | 56 |
The 2 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $8,366 | before 99%in play 1%, over 172 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 30 before the start | 17 h 17to the end, median over 431 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 69 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0697% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 66 of 175 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +10.2 | +0.06 | 48c | +18.4% | 56 |
The 175 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 175 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $15,441 | before >99%in play <1%, over 221 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 18 before the start | 5 h 28to the end, median over 304 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 53 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 126 of 221 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 221 | 53.8%119 W · 102 L | +9.7 | +0.04 | 49c | +9.8% | 54 |
The 221 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 221 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $29 | —too few: 1 pick | 17 h 44to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.71100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.71 | 29c | +244.8% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $54,719 | before 71%in play 29%, over 1,367 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 10 before the start | 4 h 08to the end, median over 2,905 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 70 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 744 of 1,374 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,374 | 33.6%461 W · 913 L | +23.0 | +0.02 | 32c | -2.5% | 52 |
The 1,374 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,374 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $842 | —too few: 5 picks | 35 dto the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5 | +0.04 | 12c | -45.4% | 52 |
The 12 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $4,281 | before 98%in play 2%, over 99 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 44 before the start | 10 h 29to the end, median over 173 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0194% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 48 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 50c | +7.9% | 51 |
The 99 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 99 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $36 | —no start of play | 3 h 06to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.29 | 71c | +40.9% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $4,405 | before 99%in play 1%, over 114 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 42 before the start | 14 h 00to the end, median over 211 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 38 of 114 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 48c | +2% | 51 |
The 114 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 114 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Apr 16, 2026, EDT | $785 | —too few: 5 picks | 4 h 39to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.16602% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 602% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1 | +0.03 | 57c | +13.1% | 51 |
The 5 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $8,340 | before 100%in play 0%, over 116 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 28 before the start | 5 h 59to the end, median over 155 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | 0.0090% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 72 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +0.4 | 0.00 | 53c | +9.2% | 50 |
The 116 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Apr 1, 2026, EDT | $22 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 2c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Mar 25, 2026, EDT | $17 | —no start of play | 20 minresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.03 | 3c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $10,609 | before 91%in play 9%, over 231 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 before the start | 4 h 45to the end, median over 414 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 121 of 231 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -1.4 | -0.01 | 53c | -1.8% | 49 |
The 231 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 231 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $14,073 | before >99%in play <1%, over 317 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 53 before the start | 12 h 46to the end, median over 634 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 67 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 111 of 318 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 318 | 50.3%160 W · 158 L | -2.6 | -0.01 | 51c | +14.8% | 49 |
The 318 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 318 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golflast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $9,845 | before 34%in play 66%, over 35 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 01 after the start | 3 dto the end, median over 465 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 115 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -1.3 | -0.01 | 13c | -55.5% | 49 |
The 115 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 115 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $30,900 | before 98%in play 2%, over 528 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 43 before the start | 11 h 51to the end, median over 1,006 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 177 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 199 of 534 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 534 | 47.2%252 W · 282 L | -8.2 | -0.02 | 49c | -7.8% | 48 |
The 534 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 534 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $25 | —no start of play | 15 h 35to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.49no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.49 | 49c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Apr 16, 2026, EDT | $112 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 26to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6 | -0.28 | 28c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $8,431 | before 99%in play 1%, over 128 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 30 before the start | 4 h 39to the end, median over 188 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 80 of 133 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.3 | -0.02 | 52c | +17.2% | 48 |
The 133 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 133 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled May 8, 2026, EDT | $601 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7 | -0.18 | 18c | -100% | 47 |
The 4 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $5,428 | before 99%in play 1%, over 142 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 24 before the start | 8 h 53to the end, median over 314 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 58 of 142 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -5.0 | -0.03 | 50c | -17.2% | 47 |
The 142 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 142 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $7,888 | before 97%in play 3%, over 181 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 30 before the start | 15 h 58to the end, median over 387 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 40 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 65 of 181 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -7.6 | -0.04 | 46c | -8.5% | 46 |
The 181 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 181 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $7,277 | before 100%in play 0%, over 198 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 31 before the start | 12 h 25to the end, median over 368 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 69 of 198 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -9.9 | -0.05 | 50c | -15.1% | 45 |
The 198 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,981 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 198 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 81
- What they are worth now
- $3,849bought for $3,444
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 47worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 81, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 22,381 | 7c | 8c | $1,679 |
| Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Real Racing Club | 2,089 | 2c | 13c | $269 |
| RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 290.81 | 79c | 82c | $237 |
| Pan Pacific Open: Alycia Parks vs Kimberly Birrell (opens in a new tab)backed Alycia Parks | 275.21 | 38c | 40c | $109 |
| Market 0x8c4c…cf46backed outcome 1 | 143.05 | 73c | 74c | $105 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-31? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 101.18 | 83c | 84c | $84 |
| Curitiba: Berta Bonardi vs Marjorie Souza (opens in a new tab)backed Berta Bonardi | 252.78 | 32c | 33c | $82 |
| Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova (opens in a new tab)backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 107.67 | 34c | 75c | $80 |
| Market 0x0c3e…988cbacked outcome 1 | 184.59 | 43c | 43c | $79 |
| Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe (opens in a new tab)backed Lorenzo Musetti | 152.19 | 48c | 49c | $74 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 47. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 12,225 | 2c | $0 | Counted |
| Little Rock: Fajing Sun vs Dakotah Bobo (opens in a new tab)backed Dakotah Bobo · settled | 6,070 | 0c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x0ac1…0d1ebacked outcome 0 | 4,404 | 1c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 U.S. Open? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 4,373 | 1c | $0 | Never scored |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 3,151 | 1c | $0 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 2 never will. TailMyPicks scored those markets, and this wallet’s position on them did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.