TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e02…b178

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
497
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 334 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Marcelina Podlinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Canadian Open: Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.52
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaricbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.99
Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.36
Vancouver: Cody Wong vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Himeno Sakatsume · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$215.8
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenkobacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smithbacked Lea Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Vicenza: Lukas Neumayer vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Little Rock (Doubles): Puttergill/Sweeny vs Maginley/Shickbacked Puttergill/Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liubacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Susan Bandecchibacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parrybacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osoriobacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.04
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Paul/Willis vs Chandrasekar/Yuzukibacked Chandrasekar/Yuzuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Showing 25 of 334 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT11412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 John Deere Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Will a PGA Tour player win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$79.45
Will a player from the United States of America win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$200.31
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$9.66
Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$41.58
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,160.54
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.37
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$36.94
Will a DP World Tour player win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.5
Will an amateur player win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$49.4
Will Max Greyserman finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Patrick Reed finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will Alex Smalley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$9.47
Will Emiliano Grillo finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$62.68
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$17.13
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.62
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+407.9%+$176.02
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.79
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$32.02
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.16
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.97
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.83
WPL: Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women vs Delhi Capitals Womenbacked Delhi Capitals Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$97.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+527.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-74.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+335.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$14.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.