TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e69…7f76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
678
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT32346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 323 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.7
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.99
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.38
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$588
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$295.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.99
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$789.29
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$588
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$432
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$324
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$54.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$552
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$432
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$946.77
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$432.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$588
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$612
Showing 25 of 323 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT28448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 284 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$732
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$636
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$624
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$624
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$240
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.79
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$744
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$612
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$516
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$347.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$756
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.18
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$540
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.62
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$516
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$432
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$732
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,331.99
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.99
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.86
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$563.98
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$504
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Showing 25 of 284 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.01
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,680
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,773.41
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.99
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$587.98
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$552
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$576
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$600
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$515.99
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$648
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$648
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$636
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$528
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$444
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$636
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$504
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$624
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$354
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$276.35
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$234
Will any match last over 70 minutes at BLAST Slam VII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$113.61
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+233%+$2,099.12
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$252
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$227.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$306
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$252
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+115%+$602.93
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.99
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$438
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$246
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$336
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$252
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.96
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$481.41
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.58
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,489.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$624.24
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,707.22
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$231.01
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$920
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$220.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.