Wallet 0x6027…4320
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x602785cdf56a03221130d3d42a577ac6cf444320
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$2,652,703 staked over 4,143 qualified picks in 26 categories, 13 of 26 below 50.
Best category
Fifa International
$8,496 staked over 29 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.14 per pick.
See the full Fifa International boardSecond best
Tennis
$1,040 staked over 5 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Tennis boardThird best
UFC
$97,998 staked over 126 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full UFC boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,143 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category26 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $8,496 | before 97%in play 3%, over 29 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 44 before the start | 9 h 48to the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.26100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.4 | +0.26 | 43c | +130.1% | 65 |
The 29 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $1,040 | —too few: 5 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.43100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1 | +0.43 | 57c | +76.9% | 58 |
The 5 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $97,998 | before 84%in play 16%, over 126 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 h 59 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 143 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0599% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 126 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +6.8 | +0.05 | 56c | +11.2% | 55 |
The 126 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 126 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Apr 21, 2026, EDT | $946 | —too few: 4 picks | 17 h 39to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.28100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1 | +0.28 | 47c | +74.1% | 54 |
The 4 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $164,450 | before 100%in play 0%, over 337 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 32 before the start | 16 h 00to the end, median over 357 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 99 of 337 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +12.1 | +0.04 | 50c | +7.4% | 54 |
The 337 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 337 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT | $797 | before 100%in play 0%, over 10 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 50 before the start | 7 dto the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1099% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0 | +0.10 | 50c | +26.9% | 53 |
The 10 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 6, 2026, EDT | $1,212,350 | before 99%in play 1%, over 1,397 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 37 before the start | 9 h 11to the end, median over 1,705 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 532 of 1,397 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1 | +0.02 | 51c | +3.7% | 52 |
The 1,397 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,397 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $415,315 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,091 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 29 before the start | 10 h 27to the end, median over 1,146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 313 of 1,092 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,092 | 48.1%525 W · 567 L | +19.4 | +0.02 | 46c | +4.8% | 52 |
The 1,092 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,092 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Mar 7, 2026, EST | $50 | —too few: 1 pick | 6 h 39to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.37 | 63c | +58.7% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $300 | —too few: 1 pick | 6 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.29107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.27 | 73c | +37.1% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $6,167 | before 100%in play 0%, over 15 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 97 h 40 before the start | 10 dto the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0195% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2 | +0.02 | 52c | -2.6% | 51 |
The 15 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $152,300 | before 100%in play 0%, over 180 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 52 before the start | 22 h 29to the end, median over 256 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 49% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 46 of 180 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +0.6 | 0.00 | 52c | -1.6% | 50 |
The 180 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 180 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $161,694 | before 100%in play 0%, over 252 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 h 38 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 299 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 38% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 70 of 252 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +0.6 | 0.00 | 50c | +2.2% | 50 |
The 252 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 252 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $116,232 | before 100%in play 0%, over 214 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 59 before the start | 13 h 25to the end, median over 232 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 55 of 214 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 55c | -3.1% | 50 |
The 214 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 214 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $10,267 | before 100%in play 0%, over 25 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 146 h 34 before the start | 7 dto the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2 | -0.01 | 57c | -10.8% | 50 |
The 25 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Apr 4, 2026, EDT | $305 | —too few: 3 picks | 6 h 21to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.06 | 39c | -18.7% | 49 |
The 3 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $5,575 | before 97%in play 3%, over 31 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 h 54 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.5 | -0.02 | 60c | +3.4% | 49 |
The 31 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $9,668 | —too few: 8 picks | 7 dto the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4 | -0.04 | 60c | -14.5% | 49 |
The 9 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $663 | —too few: 4 picks | 8 dto the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4 | -0.11 | 36c | -59% | 48 |
The 4 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $278,318 | before 95%in play 5%, over 368 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 02 before the start | 10 h 48to the end, median over 395 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 129 of 368 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 368 | 44.8%165 W · 203 L | -6.3 | -0.02 | 47c | +1% | 48 |
The 368 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 368 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $169 | —too few: 3 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.17 | 50c | -35.9% | 48 |
The 3 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $3,816 | —too few: 1 pick | 5 h 59to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.52no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.52 | 52c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Mar 15, 2026, EDT | $173 | —too few: 3 picks | 4 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.26 | 59c | -48.7% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $3,548 | before 100%in play 0%, over 18 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 96 h 08 before the start | 5 dto the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5 | -0.08 | 58c | -1% | 46 |
The 18 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $1,416 | —too few: 9 picks | 7 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.32no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8 | -0.31 | 53c | -54.4% | 41 |
The 9 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Apr 8, 2026, EDT | $651 | —too few: 6 picks | 15 h 05to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.43no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6 | -0.44 | 44c | -100% | 41 |
The 6 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 4
- What they are worth now
- $139bought for $148
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48worth $0
Its 4 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 100 | 52c | 71c | $71 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays (opens in a new tab)backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65.17 | 45c | 52c | $34 |
| Market 0x29e0…5b83backed outcome 1 | 36.91 | 97c | 51c | $19 |
| Market 0x1b32…24bbbacked outcome 1 | 31.91 | 97c | 51c | $16 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Borac Banja Luka vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 7,339 | 52c | $0 | Counted |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 7,317 | 50c | $0 | Counted |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs (opens in a new tab)backed Spurs · settled | 3,714 | 62c | $0 | Counted |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (opens in a new tab)backed Cincinnati Reds · settled | 1,870 | 44c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Chicago Sky · settled | 1,606 | 52c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.