TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x604e…f1cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$10.39
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$22.64
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Bangladeshbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.02
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+78%+$24.1
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$17.51
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.01
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$20.22
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.77
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$24.84
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.89
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+610.5%+$1,847.39
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+187.1%+$114.05
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$16.94
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.8
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Fabián Ruiz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$29
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.73
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.32
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$4.99
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.88
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.2
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: NEC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.95
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$6.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.51
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.9
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$19.1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$31.57
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$12.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$17.2
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$20.1
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$3.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+35%+$31.37
All 22 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.79
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$18.31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.99
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.6
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.93
Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$53.7
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.7%+$11.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48.7
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.85
FK Polissia vs. FC København: FC København O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$12.45
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.72
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.9
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$12.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.88
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.2%+$11.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$11.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.