Wallet 0x617b…a499
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x617b46903eaadc7dfb4f94e18408e2033ee3a499
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$5,819,175 staked over 3,250 qualified picks in 30 categories, 18 of 30 below 50.
Best category
Lol
$60,279 staked over 27 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Lol boardSecond best
WNBA
$97,157 staked over 143 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardThird best
College Football
$64,681 staked over 56 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full College Football boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,250 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category30 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $60,279 | before 63%in play 37%, over 27 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min before the start | 6 h 09to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1895% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 25 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.1 | +0.19 | 51c | +28% | 61 |
The 27 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $97,157 | before 99%in play 1%, over 143 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 34 before the start | 9 h 22to the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0997% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 76 of 143 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +13.1 | +0.09 | 50c | +19% | 59 |
The 143 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 143 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $64,681 | before 89%in play 11%, over 56 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 40 before the start | 6 h 56to the end, median over 58 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +6.2 | +0.11 | 55c | +20% | 59 |
The 56 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $327,404 | before 87%in play 13%, over 145 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min before the start | 6 h 11to the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0798% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 122 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +10.4 | +0.07 | 51c | +13.3% | 57 |
The 145 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 145 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $46,944 | before 96%in play 4%, over 27 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 35 before the start | 7 h 49to the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1096% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.9 | +0.11 | 60c | +26.9% | 56 |
The 27 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $147,928 | before 87%in play 13%, over 61 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min before the start | 5 h 14to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0798% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 54 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +4.4 | +0.07 | 52c | +12.5% | 56 |
The 61 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $1,836 | —too few: 1 pick | 6 h 38to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.54100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.54 | 46c | +117.4% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $158,998 | before 91%in play 9%, over 65 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 min before the start | 5 h 47to the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 67% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 54 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1 | +0.02 | 52c | +5.3% | 51 |
The 65 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $97,646 | before 92%in play 8%, over 88 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 34 before the start | 8 h 30to the end, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 50 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.3 | +0.01 | 50c | +1.7% | 51 |
The 92 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $1,520 | —no start of play | 12 h 29to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.24100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.24 | 76c | +31.6% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $8,976 | —too few: 7 picks | 4 h 41to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2 | +0.03 | 68c | +9.7% | 51 |
The 7 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $139,675 | before 88%in play 12%, over 57 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min before the start | 5 h 59to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 44 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 54c | -2.4% | 50 |
The 57 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $669,166 | before 96%in play 4%, over 244 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 38 before the start | 7 h 36to the end, median over 254 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 163 of 244 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7 | 0.00 | 52c | 0% | 50 |
The 244 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 244 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $606,014 | before 96%in play 4%, over 627 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 33 before the start | 7 h 47to the end, median over 635 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 453 of 629 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 629 | 47.5%299 W · 330 L | -2.8 | 0.00 | 48c | -2% | 50 |
The 629 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 629 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Apr 12, 2026, EDT | $3,011 | —no start of play | 24 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2 | -0.05 | 5c | -100% | 49 |
The 4 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $69,634 | before 100%in play 0%, over 26 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min before the start | 6 h 50to the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6 | -0.02 | 52c | -9.6% | 49 |
The 26 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $3,176 | —too few: 3 picks | 4 h 51to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.15 | 48c | -32% | 48 |
The 3 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $191,388 | before 87%in play 13%, over 75 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min before the start | 5 h 43to the end, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 67 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.1 | -0.03 | 54c | -1.1% | 48 |
The 76 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 76 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $96,689 | before 71%in play 29%, over 51 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 43 before the start | 9 h 49to the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7 | -0.03 | 52c | -8.4% | 48 |
The 51 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 51 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $484,388 | before 96%in play 4%, over 231 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 07 before the start | 11 h 26to the end, median over 233 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 206 of 231 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 231 | 48.1%111 W · 120 L | -6.1 | -0.03 | 51c | -6% | 47 |
The 231 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 231 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,953,450 | before 90%in play 10%, over 959 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 05 before the start | 9 h 10to the end, median over 1,052 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 83 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 711 of 965 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 965 | 50.3%485 W · 480 L | -23.5 | -0.02 | 53c | -5.7% | 47 |
The 965 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 965 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $163,238 | before 92%in play 8%, over 63 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min before the start | 5 h 53to the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 58 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2 | -0.04 | 54c | -7% | 47 |
The 63 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Feb 2, 2026, EST | $2,356 | —no start of play | 7 h 41to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.67no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7 | -0.68 | 68c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Apr 25, 2026, EDT | $3,900 | —too few: 1 pick | 6 h 03to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.77no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8 | -0.79 | 79c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $76,568 | before 89%in play 11%, over 36 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 before the start | 6 h 04to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 30 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9 | -0.05 | 55c | -8.7% | 46 |
The 36 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $8,394 | before 80%in play 20%, over 10 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min before the start | 4 h 55to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2 | -0.12 | 52c | -27.7% | 46 |
The 10 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $83,891 | before 92%in play 8%, over 86 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 before the start | 5 h 08to the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 85 of 89 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -4.2 | -0.05 | 52c | -9.1% | 46 |
The 89 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 89 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $142,495 | before 74%in play 26%, over 61 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min before the start | 5 h 55to the end, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 52 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.5 | -0.06 | 53c | -11.7% | 46 |
The 61 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT | $10,430 | —too few: 7 picks | 4 h 25to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4 | -0.20 | 49c | -52% | 45 |
The 7 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $97,945 | before 66%in play 34%, over 71 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min before the start | 4 h 38to the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 55 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -4.3 | -0.06 | 58c | -4.8% | 45 |
The 71 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,250 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 0
- What they are worth now
- $0bought for $0
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 38worth $0
This wallet holds nothing on a market that is still running. Everything below is settled and waiting to be cashed.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 38. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (opens in a new tab)backed Baltimore Orioles · settled | 4,891 | 48c | $0 | Counted |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (opens in a new tab)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · settled | 3,000 | 58c | $0 | Counted |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (opens in a new tab)backed Chicago Cubs · settled | 2,700 | 57c | $0 | Counted |
| Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 2,527 | 58c | $0 | Counted |
| Ravens vs. Falcons (opens in a new tab)backed Falcons · settled | 2,344 | 64c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.