Wallet 0x61f6…e497
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x61f621ed129a8b64f0d2abbef50d23cd52d1e497
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,525,942 staked over 11,059 qualified picks in 29 categories, 13 of 29 below 50.
Best category
NHL
$45,235 staked over 194 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full NHL boardSecond best
Euroleague
$19,265 staked over 94 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardThird best
NFL
$21,911 staked over 244 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full NFL boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 11,059 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category29 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $45,235 | before 64%in play 36%, over 194 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 54 before the start | 4 h 26to the end, median over 468 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0678% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 135 of 194 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 194 | 57.7%112 W · 82 L | +15.5 | +0.08 | 50c | +11.6% | 58 |
The 194 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 194 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $19,265 | before 89%in play 11%, over 94 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 01 before the start | 9 h 24to the end, median over 159 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 68 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.0 | +0.09 | 50c | +9.7% | 57 |
The 94 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 94 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $21,911 | before 10%in play 90%, over 244 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 06 after the start | 2 h 08to the end, median over 626 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 68% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 197 of 244 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +16.3 | +0.07 | 46c | +11.1% | 57 |
The 244 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 244 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,621 | before 69%in play 31%, over 13 Boxing picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1285% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8 | +0.14 | 25c | +114.1% | 55 |
The 13 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $52,318 | before 76%in play 24%, over 193 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 53 before the start | 12 h 11to the end, median over 276 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 69% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 121 of 193 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +9.8 | +0.05 | 45c | +16.3% | 55 |
The 193 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 193 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $50,216 | before 25%in play 75%, over 240 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 1 h 53to the end, median over 757 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 26% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 218 of 240 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +11.4 | +0.05 | 47c | +9.5% | 55 |
The 240 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 240 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,102 | before 2%in play 98%, over 91 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 1 h 24to the end, median over 358 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 33% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 85 of 91 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +4.9 | +0.05 | 48c | -7% | 55 |
The 91 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 91 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $14,177 | before 23%in play 77%, over 155 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 3 h 05to the end, median over 602 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0491% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 136 of 155 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 155 | 52.9%82 W · 73 L | +6.4 | +0.04 | 49c | +8.3% | 54 |
The 155 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 155 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,560 | before 27%in play 73%, over 11 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 2 h 42to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0897% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9 | +0.08 | 46c | +185.3% | 53 |
The 11 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $79,939 | before 36%in play 64%, over 1,200 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 2 h 17to the end, median over 3,129 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 35% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 899 of 1,219 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,219 | 36.7%447 W · 772 L | +25.9 | +0.02 | 35c | -9% | 52 |
The 1,219 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,219 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,068 | before 30%in play 70%, over 60 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 after the start | 42 minto the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 56 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +1.7 | +0.03 | 24c | -7.3% | 52 |
The 60 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $25,499 | before 17%in play 83%, over 224 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 2 h 08to the end, median over 887 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 4% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 194 of 224 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | +4.8 | +0.02 | 46c | +6.4% | 52 |
The 224 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 224 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $21,672 | before 36%in play 64%, over 273 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 876 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0289% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 208 of 273 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +4.6 | +0.02 | 44c | -10.3% | 52 |
The 273 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 273 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 30, 2026, EDT | $2,772 | before 100%in play 0%, over 11 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 55 before the start | 12 h 23to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4 | +0.04 | 50c | -19.6% | 51 |
The 11 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,049 | before 5%in play 95%, over 111 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 2 h 02to the end, median over 379 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 103 of 111 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 42c | -13.4% | 50 |
The 111 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 111 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,303 | before 24%in play 76%, over 317 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 1 h 42to the end, median over 982 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 219 of 317 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 317 | 47.3%150 W · 167 L | +0.6 | 0.00 | 47c | +0.6% | 50 |
The 317 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 317 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $83,019 | before 27%in play 73%, over 369 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 1 h 03to the end, median over 756 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 298 of 369 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | -1.3 | 0.00 | 40c | -11.2% | 50 |
The 369 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 369 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $175,983 | before 66%in play 34%, over 885 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 37 before the start | 4 h 58to the end, median over 1,621 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 708 of 888 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 888 | 37.7%335 W · 553 L | -4.4 | 0.00 | 38c | -16% | 49 |
The 888 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 888 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $481,719 | before 6%in play 94%, over 3,213 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min after the start | 1 h 46to the end, median over 5,958 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 49 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,543 of 3,216 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,216 | 40.9%1,315 W · 1,901 L | -19.6 | -0.01 | 41c | -13% | 49 |
The 3,216 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,216 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,768 | before 21%in play 79%, over 143 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 488 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 124 of 143 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -1.3 | -0.01 | 49c | -8.9% | 49 |
The 143 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 143 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $71,261 | before 15%in play 85%, over 479 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 2 h 49to the end, median over 1,221 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 443 of 485 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 485 | 33.6%163 W · 322 L | -6.8 | -0.01 | 35c | -25.7% | 49 |
The 485 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 485 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,666 | before 6%in play 94%, over 53 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 1 h 06to the end, median over 208 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 51 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.3 | -0.02 | 48c | -19.5% | 48 |
The 53 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $13,147 | before 64%in play 36%, over 66 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 h 40 before the start | 16 h 47to the end, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 49 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8 | -0.03 | 51c | -17% | 48 |
The 66 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $54,046 | before 68%in play 32%, over 305 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 28 before the start | 5 h 07to the end, median over 538 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 223 of 305 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 305 | 39.7%121 W · 184 L | -6.6 | -0.02 | 42c | -5.2% | 48 |
The 305 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 305 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $62,710 | before 26%in play 74%, over 465 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 3 h 05to the end, median over 1,314 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 415 of 465 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 465 | 41.1%191 W · 274 L | -11.5 | -0.02 | 44c | -14.8% | 47 |
The 465 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 465 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $7,178 | before 19%in play 81%, over 129 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start | 1 h 44to the end, median over 354 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 102 of 129 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | -3.7 | -0.03 | 35c | +5.8% | 47 |
The 129 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 129 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $23,718 | before 10%in play 90%, over 277 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 1 h 45to the end, median over 855 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 247 of 277 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 277 | 43.3%120 W · 157 L | -7.5 | -0.03 | 46c | -12.7% | 47 |
The 277 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 277 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $124,918 | before 57%in play 43%, over 1,045 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min before the start | 3 h 28to the end, median over 2,216 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 844 of 1,045 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,045 | 26.4%276 W · 769 L | -43.8 | -0.04 | 31c | -23.2% | 45 |
The 1,045 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,045 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $23,103 | before 50%in play 50%, over 168 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min before the start | 2 h 30to the end, median over 499 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 131 of 168 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -10.7 | -0.06 | 34c | -29.6% | 44 |
The 168 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,059 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 168 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 94
- What they are worth now
- $2,696bought for $2,380
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 94, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lions (-10.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Packers | 1,028 | 72c | 75c | $766 |
| Spread: Cardinals (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Cardinals | 1,113 | 19c | 21c | $228 |
| Spread: CF América (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed CF América | 355 | 9c | 38c | $133 |
| Will Sydney FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 115.48 | 51c | 100c | $115 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers (opens in a new tab)backed Lotte Giants | 119 | 43c | 92c | $110 |
| Shanxi Loongs vs. Jiangsu Dragons (opens in a new tab)backed Shanxi Loongs | 101.71 | 74c | 89c | $90 |
| Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers (opens in a new tab)backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 267 | 33c | 30c | $79 |
| Ningbo Rockets vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers (opens in a new tab)backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 116.88 | 58c | 59c | $68 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-27? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 445 | 8c | 15c | $67 |
| AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Grand Rapids Griffins (opens in a new tab)backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 105 | 1c | 50c | $53 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.