TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6201…622c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-36.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.28
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liubacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.62
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$17.34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$60.12
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$19.63
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.1
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$31.72
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$33.52
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$42.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.44
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$47.51
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+83%+$16.61
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$69.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.