TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65c5…7ba3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.6
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$133.49
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+140%+$54.22
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.52
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$19.4
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$11.3
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$8.9
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.12
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$29.25
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.92
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.76
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.19
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.69
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+73.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+247.2%+$53.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.