Wallet 0x682f…3265
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x682f870bb7da37812ef1cbca32b81743d9763265
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$255,424 staked over 4,076 qualified picks in 27 categories, 15 of 27 below 50.
Best category
Lol
$1,343 staked over 60 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Lol boardSecond best
South American Leagues
$1,867 staked over 62 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full South American Leagues boardThird best
Tennis
$4,070 staked over 197 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Tennis boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,076 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category27 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lollast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,343 | before 100%in play 0%, over 60 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 35 before the start | 8 h 40to the end, median over 88 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 24 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +8.7 | +0.14 | 39c | +42.5% | 61 |
The 60 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,867 | before 98%in play 2%, over 62 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 29 before the start | 10 h 53to the end, median over 176 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 24 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.8 | +0.09 | 45c | +29.8% | 57 |
The 62 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $4,070 | before 100%in play 0%, over 196 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 52 before the start | 5 h 59to the end, median over 334 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 49 of 197 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.5 | +0.04 | 39c | +11.5% | 54 |
The 197 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 197 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $700 | before 100%in play 0%, over 27 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 33 before the start | 5 h 20to the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7 | +0.06 | 42c | +14.2% | 54 |
The 27 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $230 | before 100%in play 0%, over 19 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 34 before the start | 5 h 52to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4 | +0.07 | 51c | +14.3% | 54 |
The 19 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $100 | —too few: 9 picks | 5 h 52to the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0 | +0.11 | 44c | +23.9% | 53 |
The 9 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $3,900 | before 98%in play 2%, over 166 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 38 before the start | 8 h 31to the end, median over 215 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 69 of 166 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 166 | 45.2%75 W · 91 L | +3.8 | +0.02 | 43c | +7.6% | 52 |
The 166 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 166 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,600 | before 100%in play 0%, over 188 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 03 before the start | 9 h 10to the end, median over 356 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02117% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 117% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 89 of 190 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +3.3 | +0.02 | 53c | +5.4% | 52 |
The 190 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 190 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,234 | before 99%in play 1%, over 171 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 38 before the start | 9 h 15to the end, median over 290 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02117% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 117% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 89 of 171 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | +2.9 | +0.02 | 53c | +3.7% | 52 |
The 171 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 171 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,306 | before 98%in play 2%, over 230 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 08 before the start | 8 h 40to the end, median over 403 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 36 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 59 of 230 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | +3.7 | +0.02 | 47c | +0.5% | 52 |
The 230 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 230 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $167,606 | before 95%in play 5%, over 1,455 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 38 before the start | 8 h 29to the end, median over 1,738 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 153 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02134% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 134% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 922 of 1,458 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,458 | 54.8%799 W · 659 L | +17.9 | +0.01 | 54c | +3.7% | 51 |
The 1,458 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,458 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,350 | before 97%in play 3%, over 35 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 13 before the start | 9 h 15to the end, median over 100 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7 | +0.02 | 52c | +1.2% | 51 |
The 35 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,041 | before 99%in play 1%, over 314 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 18 before the start | 9 h 14to the end, median over 543 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 50 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 155 of 314 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -0.5 | 0.00 | 52c | -1.1% | 50 |
The 314 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 314 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $20 | —too few: 2 picks | 7 h 04to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.05 | 55c | -21.9% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $80 | —too few: 5 picks | 5 h 55to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2 | -0.04 | 44c | +0.4% | 49 |
The 5 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 8, 2026, EDT | $30 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 h 44to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,753 | before 95%in play 5%, over 205 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 28 before the start | 7 h 10to the end, median over 333 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 63 of 205 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -2.3 | -0.01 | 49c | -1.9% | 49 |
The 205 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 205 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,698 | before 93%in play 7%, over 46 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 23 before the start | 7 h 32to the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.4 | -0.03 | 51c | -8.6% | 48 |
The 46 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $5,613 | before 100%in play 0%, over 147 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 20 before the start | 8 h 32to the end, median over 276 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 48 of 147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -3.6 | -0.02 | 48c | -4.8% | 48 |
The 147 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $835 | before 97%in play 3%, over 36 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 01 before the start | 6 h 38to the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6 | -0.04 | 41c | -5.9% | 47 |
The 36 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,266 | before 100%in play 0%, over 120 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 57 before the start | 9 h 44to the end, median over 212 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 120 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -3.9 | -0.03 | 52c | -9.6% | 47 |
The 120 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 120 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $7,257 | before 99%in play 1%, over 181 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 29 before the start | 8 h 31to the end, median over 317 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 140 of 181 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6 | -0.04 | 40c | -12.6% | 46 |
The 181 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 181 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 8, 2026, EDT | $440 | before 100%in play 0%, over 17 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 01 before the start | 12 h 33to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0 | -0.12 | 41c | -31.9% | 45 |
The 17 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,490 | before 99%in play 1%, over 70 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 26 before the start | 7 h 01to the end, median over 124 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.7 | -0.07 | 42c | -19.2% | 45 |
The 70 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,219 | before 99%in play 1%, over 194 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 25 before the start | 8 h 29to the end, median over 299 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 87 of 194 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -11.5 | -0.06 | 52c | -14.5% | 44 |
The 194 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 194 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,705 | before 99%in play 1%, over 88 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 57 before the start | 9 h 51to the end, median over 141 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 37 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.2 | -0.07 | 52c | -13.5% | 44 |
The 88 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $670 | before 96%in play 4%, over 26 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 12 before the start | 7 h 34to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -6.7 | -0.26 | 37c | -75.5% | 35 |
The 26 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,076 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 12
- What they are worth now
- $59bought for $60
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 12, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 11.11 | 45c | 78c | $9 |
| Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 10.87 | 46c | 51c | $5 |
| Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 20 | 25c | 27c | $5 |
| Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings (opens in a new tab)backed Melbourne United | 12.2 | 41c | 43c | $5 |
| Florence: Michele Ribecai vs Filippo Romano (opens in a new tab)backed Filippo Romano | 12.2 | 41c | 42c | $5 |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Joanna Garland (opens in a new tab)backed Joanna Garland | 11.63 | 43c | 43c | $5 |
| England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England (opens in a new tab)backed Pakistan | 11.9 | 42c | 42c | $5 |
| Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 9.8 | 51c | 50c | $5 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A (opens in a new tab)backed OG | 11.11 | 45c | 44c | $5 |
| Will Hwaseong FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 11.63 | 43c | 41c | $5 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-02? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 111.11 | 27c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Tampa Bay Rays · settled | 85.71 | 35c | $0 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs (opens in a new tab)backed fnatic · settled | 85.71 | 35c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0xe135…ed25backed outcome 1 | 85.71 | 35c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x77d0…e067backed outcome 0 | 83 | 1c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 3 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 2 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.