TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6994…fc1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
242
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10945.9%50 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Kristina Penickovabacked Elizabeth Mandlik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
US Open, Qualification WTA: Angela Fita Boluda vs Lin Zhubacked Lin Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Set Handicap: Ymer (-1.5) vs Roncadelli (+1.5)backed Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.1
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damasbacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echarguibacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Brownsburg: Daniel Milavsky vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowskabacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$51.97
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.81
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.74
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: Imperial vs. Legacybacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.02
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: B8 vs. Wildcardbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.57
Will Eternal Fire win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$69.96
Will Falcons win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$238.7
Will ENCE win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Mouz win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$58
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+229.1%+$208.85
Will Furia win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.26
Will Heroic win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Faze Clan win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will FlyQuest win ESL Challenger Atlanta 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+566.7%+$144.37
Will M80 win ESL Challenger Atlanta 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$89.91
Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-68.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
MOUZ to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.05
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 22 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will PAOK win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
FK Auda vs. FCSB: Team to Advancebacked FCSB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paksi FC win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will FC Atert Bissen win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Team to Advancebacked FC Drita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will FK Sileks win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will the match between Fenerbahce and Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$52
Will Nice beat Ferencvaros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$19.41
Will Fenerbahce beat Twente?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$35.88
Will IF Elfsborg beat Roma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$108.69
Will Tottenham beat Qarabag?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$52
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Denmark beat Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+37%+$32.92
Will Czech Republic beat Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
Will Austria beat Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$53
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2024, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Giantsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$52
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+49.3%+$24.75
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+69.5%+$42.31
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+53.8%+$21.31
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.