TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x69bf…0c5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
821
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT36547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 365 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,254.98
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,204.94
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,538Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$1,661.99
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,630
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.78
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$360
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,110
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,149.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,059.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$939.98
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.2
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28.29
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$1,859.99
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$1,490
Showing 25 of 365 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT23252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 232 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,289.99
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$760
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$659.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,099.98
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,740
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,780
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,519.95
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,519.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,260
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$680
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+387.8%+$1,589.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.2
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$480
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Showing 25 of 232 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT17148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,097.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$759.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$890
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+259.7%+$216.59
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$475.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.46
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.88
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$800.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$350.49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.33
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$537.12
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$416.78
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$648.98
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$443
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.33
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$80.16
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.99
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$459.71
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,436Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$1,520.19
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$1,795.59
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164.31
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$240
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,170
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$540
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.55
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$722.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+201.6%+$86.9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,218.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,082.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$1,097.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+329.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$710.71
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+414.7%+$2,902.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$397.2
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$207.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.64
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.