Wallet 0x6b23…04a3
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x6b23c73159b753c96d3c1ed94413f113300c04a3
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$2,992,134 staked over 18,940 qualified picks in 31 categories, 12 of 31 below 50.
Best category
Other European Leagues
$21,750 staked over 267 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Other European Leagues boardSecond best
Euroleague
$556 staked over 18 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardThird best
Lol
$782,074 staked over 2,350 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Lol boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 18,940 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category31 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $21,750 | before 2%in play 98%, over 267 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start | 3 h 24to the end, median over 815 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 72 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0893% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 262 of 267 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +22.7 | +0.09 | 42c | +19% | 59 |
The 267 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 267 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $556 | before 0%in play 100%, over 18 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start | 3 h 50to the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.18105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1 | +0.17 | 44c | +59.3% | 58 |
The 18 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $782,074 | before 2%in play 98%, over 2,350 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 3 h 32to the end, median over 4,189 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 79 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08135% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 135% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2,339 of 2,350 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,350 | 56.6%1,330 W · 1,020 L | +131.9 | +0.06 | 51c | +1.7% | 56 |
The 2,350 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,350 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $51,959 | before 3%in play 97%, over 178 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 45 after the start | 40 minto the end, median over 280 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 177 of 178 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +11.2 | +0.06 | 48c | +4.5% | 56 |
The 178 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 178 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $2,213 | —too few: 6 picks | 6 h 08to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.29110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6 | +0.26 | 40c | +92.3% | 56 |
The 6 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $468,599 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,383 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 2 h 40to the end, median over 2,181 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07136% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 136% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,381 of 1,383 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,383 | 53.7%742 W · 641 L | +70.0 | +0.05 | 49c | +2.8% | 56 |
The 1,383 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,383 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $36,440 | before 5%in play 95%, over 289 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 2 h 06to the end, median over 688 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0479% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 287 of 289 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 289 | 50.5%146 W · 143 L | +15.3 | +0.05 | 45c | +10.6% | 55 |
The 289 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 289 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $438,606 | before 9%in play 91%, over 2,905 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min after the start | 2 h 03to the end, median over 6,307 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04124% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 124% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2,899 of 2,905 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,905 | 55.9%1,625 W · 1,280 L | +101.0 | +0.03 | 52c | +1.7% | 54 |
The 2,905 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,905 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $32,993 | before 7%in play 93%, over 281 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 559 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 275 of 281 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 281 | 55.2%155 W · 126 L | +10.1 | +0.04 | 52c | +3.1% | 54 |
The 281 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 281 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $313,818 | before <1%in play >99%, over 3,689 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 2 h 08to the end, median over 7,261 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0275% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3,518 of 3,689 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,689 | 51.5%1,901 W · 1,788 L | +117.1 | +0.03 | 48c | +2% | 54 |
The 3,689 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,689 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 22, 2026, EDT | $8,534 | before 1%in play 99%, over 134 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min after the start | 3 h 40to the end, median over 263 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 55 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 116 of 134 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2 | +0.03 | 42c | 0% | 53 |
The 134 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 134 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $22,394 | before 2%in play 98%, over 264 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 2 h 25to the end, median over 643 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 107 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 258 of 264 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 264 | 47%124 W · 140 L | +7.2 | +0.03 | 44c | -1.5% | 53 |
The 264 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 264 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $42,975 | before 3%in play 97%, over 617 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min after the start | 2 h 58to the end, median over 1,197 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 569 of 617 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +15.5 | +0.03 | 48c | -1.5% | 53 |
The 617 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 617 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $230,680 | before 4%in play 96%, over 1,369 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 2 h 01to the end, median over 3,460 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 106 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 69% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,363 of 1,370 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,370 | 47.4%649 W · 721 L | +33.3 | +0.02 | 45c | -5.8% | 53 |
The 1,370 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,370 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $45,588 | before 10%in play 90%, over 416 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 2 h 17to the end, median over 1,181 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 45% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 401 of 416 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 416 | 51.9%216 W · 200 L | +7.8 | +0.02 | 50c | -1.8% | 52 |
The 416 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 416 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $26,975 | before 3%in play 97%, over 89 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min after the start | 2 h 36to the end, median over 158 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03179% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 179% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 89 of 89 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.5 | +0.02 | 51c | -7% | 52 |
The 89 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 89 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $46,616 | before 5%in play 95%, over 350 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 2 h 21to the end, median over 895 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 44 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 346 of 350 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | +4.3 | +0.01 | 45c | +1.5% | 51 |
The 350 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 350 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $84,829 | before 5%in play 95%, over 756 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min after the start | 3 h 23to the end, median over 1,963 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 741 of 756 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 756 | 44.7%338 W · 418 L | +7.5 | +0.01 | 44c | -3.6% | 51 |
The 756 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 756 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $22,277 | before 2%in play 98%, over 243 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start | 3 h 18to the end, median over 699 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 242 of 243 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.4 | 0.00 | 45c | -7.6% | 50 |
The 243 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 243 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 19, 2026, EST | $307 | —too few: 5 picks | 4 h 06to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1 | -0.02 | 22c | +25% | 50 |
The 5 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $14,408 | before 10%in play 90%, over 173 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 4 h 33to the end, median over 404 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 172 of 173 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 48c | -3.1% | 50 |
The 173 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 173 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $17,811 | before 1%in play 99%, over 147 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 2 h 09to the end, median over 264 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 145 of 147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -0.7 | 0.00 | 48c | +9.6% | 50 |
The 147 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $42,168 | before 0%in play 100%, over 307 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min after the start | 2 h 00to the end, median over 520 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 303 of 307 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 307 | 47.6%146 W · 161 L | -2.0 | -0.01 | 48c | -9.6% | 49 |
The 307 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 307 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $127,621 | before 6%in play 94%, over 1,512 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 2 h 52to the end, median over 2,859 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 112 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,470 of 1,512 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,512 | 45.1%682 W · 830 L | -17.2 | -0.01 | 46c | -12.8% | 49 |
The 1,512 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,512 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,733 | before 2%in play 98%, over 344 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start | 2 h 58to the end, median over 933 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 33 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 343 of 344 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -4.7 | -0.01 | 49c | +9% | 49 |
The 344 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 344 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $26,622 | before 8%in play 92%, over 318 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 3 h 10to the end, median over 1,000 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 77 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 301 of 318 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 318 | 43.7%139 W · 179 L | -5.7 | -0.02 | 46c | -10.6% | 48 |
The 318 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 318 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $700 | before 0%in play 100%, over 11 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 88 h 00 after the start | 6 h 23to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7 | -0.06 | 61c | -20.8% | 48 |
The 11 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $23,935 | before 8%in play 92%, over 147 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 2 h 19to the end, median over 424 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 144 of 147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -3.5 | -0.02 | 46c | -14.5% | 48 |
The 147 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,469 | before 2%in play 98%, over 50 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 02 after the start | 3 h 35to the end, median over 128 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 48 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6 | -0.03 | 45c | -15.7% | 48 |
The 50 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,703 | before 6%in play 94%, over 95 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 263 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 93 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -3.0 | -0.03 | 45c | -12.1% | 47 |
The 95 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $17,783 | before 18%in play 82%, over 226 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 3 h 05to the end, median over 504 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 211 of 226 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -10.2 | -0.05 | 48c | -13.6% | 45 |
The 226 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 18,940 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 226 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 8
- What they are worth now
- $1,164bought for $1,520
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 43worth $0
Its 8 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 2,040 | 69c | 54c | $1,091 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 64.11 | 34c | 32c | $21 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 21.28 | 94c | 70c | $15 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 26.32 | 76c | 41c | $11 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 38.33 | 53c | 25c | $9 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 32.79 | 61c | 28c | $9 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 13.16 | 76c | 50c | $7 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 9.69 | 13c | 12c | $1 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 43. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Twente win on 2026-09-20? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 900 | 2c | $0 | Counted |
| Plovdiv 4: Sebastian Gima vs Jonas Forejtek (opens in a new tab)backed Sebastian Gima · settled | 497.23 | 39c | $0 | Counted |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-08? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 453.89 | 12c | $0 | Counted |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (opens in a new tab)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · settled | 410.09 | 36c | $0 | Counted |
| Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 299.63 | 8c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.