TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b80…d023

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6854.4%37 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.21
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$39.19
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.33
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.35
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.3
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.09
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40.63
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.14
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.93
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.71
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.43
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5961%36 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$51.69
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$143.21
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$112.32
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$171.73
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$103.48
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$166.22
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$49.78
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$97.5
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.53
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$22.94
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$45.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$276.92
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.