TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c1f…6823

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
236
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9262%57 W · 35 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.34
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$19.53
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$34.16
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.49
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.52
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.18
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.61
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.84
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$21.06
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.35
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.36
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.52
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.08
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+27.2%+$10.25
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT3773%27 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.37
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.17
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.58
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.32
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$21
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$6.71
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.97
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$10.67
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.67
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.3
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$31.27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+45%+$62.53
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$54.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid+200.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Cricket — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.72
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.78
T20 World Cup: Canada vs UAE (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.34
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+6,283.2%+$942.48
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.62
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.69
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Game 4)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.82
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs South Africa (Game Final)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will India win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+45.7%+$22.84
Asia Cup: India vs Sri Lankabacked Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.76
Asia Cup: Afghanistan vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.59
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$5.84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.42
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$16.53
Will Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.73
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.38
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$6.19
Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.6
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Brazil vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.85
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Will South Africa vs. Angola end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$6.97
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+65.6%+$13.12
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$15.75
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$14.35
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$526.84
Will Kosovo vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.39
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$23.96
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$21.17
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$10.23
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.85
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.18
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$48.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.74
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46%+$24.86
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.95
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+102.5%+$73.84
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.98
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$945
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$32.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.