Wallet 0x6f67…102c
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x6f679c4a78330853ac7762a1cda0a469333f102c
Rebuilt .
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked . We read the wallets we follow in rotation; the one we have gone longest without asking about was asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1,768
- What they are worth now
- $35,909
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50
bought for $62,848
worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 1,768, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?backed No | 151.14shares | 86c | 95c | $143 |
| Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes | 151.16shares | 86c | 88c | $132 |
| Market 0x6f07…e766backed outcome 0 | 140.41shares | 91c | 91c | $127 |
| Market 0xa4b1…f5dfbacked outcome 1 | 1,083shares | 12c | 12c | $125 |
| Market 0x401b…48eebacked outcome 0 | 1,083shares | 12c | 11c | $119 |
| Market 0x2107…0187backed outcome 0 | 189.67shares | 62c | 62c | $117 |
| Market 0x82c9…f6fbbacked outcome 1 | 1,204shares | 11c | 9c | $108 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?backed No | 288.9shares | 45c | 37c | $107 |
| Market 0x0eda…1344backed outcome 1 | 419.35shares | 31c | 25c | $105 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?backed No | 217.06shares | 46c | 47c | $102 |
Paid is Polymarket’s own average price over what the wallet still holds — it is not the entry price TailMyPicks derives for a scored pick, which is the volume-weighted average of the buys on the side it picked. Now is what the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last catalogue refresh. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not resolved and there is nothing yet to be right about.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 — we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet sitting at exactly that number is holding more than we counted. These are markets that have already resolved: the money is sitting there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open convictions, which is why they are not in the figures above.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · resolved | 882.92shares | 11c | $0 | Counted |
| Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · resolved | 825shares | 12c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0xa978…f7b0backed outcome 0 | 748shares | 8c | $0 | Not ingested |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?backed Yes · resolved | 448.18shares | 22c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVPbacked Yes · resolved | 428.49shares | 20c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do — the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table below. 1 is not in the published record at all — TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either it has yet to be ingested, or nothing anybody held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record below never add up. What this wallet is holding on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks has scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways — the record covers markets that have already resolved and been graded, these figures cover money that is still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
Summary
- Qualified picks
- 7,099
- Categories scored
- 54
- Categories below 50
- 38
Best Category: Poker, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).
Best Category Poker at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.
What is a Tail Score?
A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.
The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.
The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.
Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.
Record by Category
Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.
The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 7,099 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.
| Category | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| Earningslast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| AIlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| Us Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| Musiclast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +297.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| Space Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.