TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7058…26b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.42
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.97
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.82
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.7
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$20.22
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$16.92
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$12.3
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$89.03
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$125
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$240
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$59.64
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$55
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$102.16
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.13
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+119.2%+$27.37
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$304.31
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$269.49
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$100
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$116
Sharks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Transylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigurbacked Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$85.02
Ostrava Open: Diane Parry vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$31.76
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Australian Open Women's: Victoria Mboko vs Emerson Jonesbacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+31.2%+$45.86
Rolex Paris Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$166.75
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.25
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs David Goffinbacked Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+124.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$51.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$99.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 27-November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$94.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$107.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.