TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72e2…6610

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$8,300
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,610
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,944.44
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,063.29
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+46%+$459.85
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,944.44
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$896.1
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$398.73
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$195.5
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.01
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1492.9%13 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick67cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$500
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.5
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$132.28
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.51
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$152.86
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+41.7%+$41.69
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$56.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick75cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$132.11
Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Wimbledon WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigurbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$317.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.