TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73c2…3a29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the announcers say "iShowSpeed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$216.67
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.7
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$812.1
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.21
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$288.35
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.87
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$140.64
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$517.12
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.72
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$354.37
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,563.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,529Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$1,535.68
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,421.26
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$278.57
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+86%+$258.05
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$37.48
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$64.33
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+210.8%+$230.14
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.83
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.09
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.97
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.93
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$51.91
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.