Wallet 0x7495…7fcf
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x74957ea27ac4fbdee46d861fdae357859ff67fcf
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$282,387 staked over 6,449 qualified picks in 53 categories, 35 of 53 below 50.
Best category
WNBA
$246 staked over 9 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardSecond best
Valorant
$640 staked over 21 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardThird best
Serie A
$131 staked over 7 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 6,449 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category53 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $246 | —too few: 4 picks | 29 dto the end, median over 154 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2083% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1 | +0.24 | 9c | +99.1% | 57 |
The 9 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $640 | before 45%in play 55%, over 11 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 191 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 12 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.8 | +0.13 | 11c | +58.2% | 57 |
The 21 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Jul 3, 2026, EDT | $131 | —too few: 2 picks | 5 dto the end, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1898% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3 | +0.18 | 10c | +74% | 54 |
The 7 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $1,758 | before 86%in play 14%, over 29 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 31 before the start | 17 dto the end, median over 570 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0579% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 25 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | +3.1 | +0.06 | 11c | +28.2% | 54 |
The 53 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $765 | before 100%in play 0%, over 28 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 02 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 280 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0695% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +2.1 | +0.07 | 9c | +17.2% | 54 |
The 32 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2026, EDT | $428 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0975% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1 | +0.12 | 10c | +61.3% | 54 |
The 9 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $38 | —too few: 2 picks | 7 dto the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.40100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8 | +0.40 | 10c | +233.3% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 28, 2026, EDT | $805 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 166 h 31 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 139 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 63% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 11 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +1.6 | +0.06 | 8c | +19.6% | 53 |
The 29 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $2,622 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 1,056 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 49% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 36 of 91 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +2.9 | +0.03 | 28c | +36.6% | 53 |
The 91 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 91 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Jul 22, 2026, EDT | $64 | —too few: 6 picks | 4 dto the end, median over 116 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7 | +0.12 | 5c | +91.8% | 53 |
The 6 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $2,645 | before 82%in play 18%, over 33 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 h 28 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 474 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 41 of 84 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +2.2 | +0.03 | 9c | +133% | 52 |
The 84 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 84 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $5,377 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 971 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0196% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 56 of 166 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 166 | 15.7%26 W · 140 L | +2.5 | +0.01 | 14c | +21.2% | 51 |
The 166 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 166 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $535 | —too few: 9 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 118 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04130% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 130% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5 | +0.03 | 10c | -8.2% | 51 |
The 16 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $3,828 | before 100%in play 0%, over 24 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 h 36 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 776 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 43% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 38 of 101 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +1.2 | +0.01 | 8c | +10.6% | 51 |
The 101 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 101 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,726 | before 91%in play 9%, over 23 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 23 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 470 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 31 of 98 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 98 | 9.2%9 W · 89 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 9c | -27.1% | 51 |
The 98 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 98 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $202 | —too few: 5 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 15c | -27.5% | 50 |
The 6 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Aug 14, 2026, EDT | $19,969 | before 97%in play 3%, over 61 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 h 28 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 3,616 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 308 of 614 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 614 | 8.5%52 W · 562 L | +1.0 | 0.00 | 8c | +17.6% | 50 |
The 614 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 614 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $6,637 | —no start of play | 22 dto the end, median over 960 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 63 of 157 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 157 | 21.7%34 W · 123 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 22c | -27.3% | 50 |
The 157 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 157 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT | $1,858 | —too few: 7 picks | 6 dto the end, median over 308 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 7c | -30.5% | 50 |
The 42 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $384 | before 50%in play 50%, over 10 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 14 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 183 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 7c | -58.3% | 50 |
The 16 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $3,564 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 207 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 9c | +59.8% | 50 |
The 71 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $824 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 5c | -85.2% | 49 |
The 26 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $19,406 | before 96%in play 4%, over 761 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 h 51 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 21,750 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 357 of 898 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 898 | 29.4%264 W · 634 L | -5.1 | -0.01 | 30c | +8.2% | 49 |
The 898 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 898 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $17,231 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 1,319 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 168 of 333 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 333 | 5.7%19 W · 314 L | -2.5 | -0.01 | 6c | -46% | 49 |
The 333 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 333 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT | $62 | —too few: 2 picks | 5 dto the end, median over 120 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2 | -0.06 | 6c | -100% | 49 |
The 4 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT | $156 | —no start of play | 4 h 32to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4 | -0.06 | 6c | -100% | 49 |
The 6 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $192 | —no start of play | 5 h 28to the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4 | -0.05 | 5c | -100% | 49 |
The 8 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 20, 2026, EDT | $156 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 94 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4 | -0.09 | 9c | -100% | 49 |
The 4 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $49,215 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 1,128 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 314 of 611 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 611 | 10.3%63 W · 548 L | -8.6 | -0.01 | 12c | -39.9% | 48 |
The 611 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 611 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $8,237 | before 94%in play 6%, over 114 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 19 before the start | 12 h 32to the end, median over 867 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 104 of 233 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 233 | 10.3%24 W · 209 L | -4.2 | -0.02 | 12c | -20.6% | 48 |
The 233 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 233 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $1,492 | —too few: 2 picks | 7 dto the end, median over 299 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9 | -0.04 | 8c | -69.6% | 48 |
The 24 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $281 | —no start of play | 19 h 13to the end, median over 83 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7 | -0.06 | 6c | -100% | 48 |
The 12 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $164 | —too few: 3 picks | 2 h 58to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7 | -0.11 | 11c | -100% | 48 |
The 6 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $417 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7 | -0.10 | 10c | -100% | 48 |
The 7 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $4,701 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 572 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 154 | 33.8%52 W · 102 L | -4.5 | -0.03 | 37c | -21.9% | 47 |
The 154 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $708 | before 100%in play 0%, over 13 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 158 h 46 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 94 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.2 | -0.06 | 10c | -60.3% | 47 |
The 21 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $18,043 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 2,501 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 134 of 369 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 369 | 18.2%67 W · 302 L | -11.2 | -0.03 | 21c | -29.9% | 47 |
The 369 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 369 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Sep 8, 2026, EDT | $1,358 | —too few: 6 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 310 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -2.2 | -0.06 | 8c | -55.6% | 46 |
The 38 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 38 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $9,598 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 618 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 76 of 190 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 190 | 1.6%3 W · 187 L | -7.5 | -0.04 | 6c | -89.3% | 46 |
The 190 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 190 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Aug 25, 2026, EDT | $1,245 | —too few: 4 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 148 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1 | -0.07 | 7c | -100% | 46 |
The 31 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $637 | —too few: 7 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 140 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.0 | -0.08 | 15c | -65.1% | 46 |
The 26 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled May 15, 2026, EDT | $504 | before 44%in play 56%, over 18 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 143 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.8 | -0.09 | 9c | -100% | 46 |
The 20 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,510 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 869 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 9.1%8 W · 80 L | -4.6 | -0.05 | 14c | -39.3% | 46 |
The 88 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $13,337 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 800 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 91 of 248 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 248 | 8.5%21 W · 227 L | -11.3 | -0.05 | 13c | -57.6% | 45 |
The 248 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 248 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $1,814 | —no start of play | 19 dto the end, median over 239 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2 | -0.07 | 34c | -41.7% | 45 |
The 45 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $9,996 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 1,635 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 125 of 290 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 290 | 6.6%19 W · 271 L | -14.9 | -0.05 | 12c | -55.2% | 45 |
The 290 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 290 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Sep 8, 2026, EDT | $931 | before 73%in play 27%, over 11 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 41 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 147 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -3.0 | -0.10 | 10c | -100% | 44 |
The 29 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT | $1,101 | —too few: 2 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 335 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -4.5 | -0.11 | 13c | -91.9% | 42 |
The 41 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $34,952 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 2,159 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 236 of 628 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 628 | 6.8%43 W · 585 L | -48.5 | -0.08 | 15c | -70.2% | 42 |
The 628 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 628 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $17,238 | —no start of play | 27 dto the end, median over 640 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 83 of 221 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | -18.9 | -0.09 | 16c | -82.1% | 41 |
The 221 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 221 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $5,055 | —no start of play | 16 dto the end, median over 338 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 107 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 107 | 0.9%1 W · 106 L | -10.6 | -0.10 | 11c | -98.6% | 41 |
The 107 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 107 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $3,647 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 182 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 9.2%7 W · 69 L | -9.0 | -0.12 | 21c | -80.4% | 40 |
The 76 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 76 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $1,956 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 124 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -4.8 | -0.19 | 19c | -100% | 39 |
The 25 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 6,449 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
This wallet holds more positions than we read. We counted at least 500 running positions and stopped there. So no figure is shown: one side of a hedge could be in the part we did not reach. Wallets this size are almost certainly market makers, not forecasters. The record above is not affected.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.