Wallet 0x758d…5d9e
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x758dac51ba3cc9a246a79787da9df11c5f425d9e
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$241,758 staked over 10,715 qualified picks in 50 categories, 47 of 50 below 50.
Best category
Euroleague
$273 staked over 21 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.02 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardSecond best
Golf
$14 staked over 1 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.01 per pick.
See the full Golf boardThird best
China Taiwan
$60 staked over 3 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.01 per pick.
See the full China Taiwan boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 10,715 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category50 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $273 | before 71%in play 29%, over 21 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 53 before the start | 6 h 36to the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1 | +0.05 | 52c | +0.4% | 53 |
The 21 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golflast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $14 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 dto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.32100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.32 | 68c | +46.5% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $60 | —no start of play | 21 dto the end, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3 | +0.08 | 58c | +1.2% | 51 |
The 3 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $91 | —too few: 6 picks | 10 h 05to the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 35c | -30.6% | 50 |
The 6 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $61 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.05 | 39c | -33.1% | 49 |
The 3 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $621 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 421 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 155 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 30c | -43.2% | 49 |
The 29 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $190 | before 13%in play 87%, over 15 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 3 h 45to the end, median over 120 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5 | -0.04 | 64c | -3.2% | 49 |
The 15 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Spacelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $13 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.40no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.37 | 37c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $19,792 | before 33%in play 67%, over 702 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 3 h 31to the end, median over 1,455 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 101 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 298 of 707 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 707 | 50.5%357 W · 350 L | -10.8 | -0.02 | 52c | -6.1% | 48 |
The 707 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 707 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $116 | —too few: 7 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5 | -0.07 | 36c | -57% | 48 |
The 7 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $19,351 | before 19%in play 81%, over 752 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 3 h 03to the end, median over 1,681 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 350 of 754 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 754 | 53.1%400 W · 354 L | -12.2 | -0.02 | 55c | -7.1% | 48 |
The 754 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 754 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $29 | —no start of play | 13 dresells, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.23 | 73c | -28.6% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $1,373 | before 25%in play 75%, over 76 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 2 h 05to the end, median over 492 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.2 | -0.03 | 52c | -7.7% | 48 |
The 76 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 76 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $288 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.47no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7 | -0.22 | 22c | -100% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $31 | —no start of play | 17 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.63no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.62 | 62c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $2,185 | before 31%in play 69%, over 161 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min after the start | 2 h 44to the end, median over 674 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 90 of 161 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | -6.0 | -0.04 | 61c | -10.9% | 46 |
The 161 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 161 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $859 | before 12%in play 88%, over 68 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min after the start | 2 h 38to the end, median over 259 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 34 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.8 | -0.06 | 61c | -10.2% | 45 |
The 68 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $312 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 219 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0 | -0.14 | 50c | -42.1% | 44 |
The 14 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $2,088 | before 37%in play 63%, over 120 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min after the start | 2 h 34to the end, median over 815 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 53 of 120 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -9.1 | -0.08 | 58c | -18.4% | 43 |
The 120 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 120 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $3,053 | before 48%in play 52%, over 139 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 3 h 58to the end, median over 472 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 77 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 59 of 147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -11.4 | -0.08 | 49c | -21.8% | 43 |
The 147 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $788 | before 52%in play 48%, over 31 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min before the start | 6 h 25to the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.8 | -0.12 | 41c | -45.7% | 42 |
The 31 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $326 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 112 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9 | -0.17 | 41c | -49.3% | 42 |
The 17 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $5,592 | before 36%in play 64%, over 244 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 3 h 07to the end, median over 1,075 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 50 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 109 of 244 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 244 | 43.4%106 W · 138 L | -18.9 | -0.08 | 51c | -26.4% | 42 |
The 244 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 244 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $137 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 277 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.35no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7 | -0.30 | 41c | -70.2% | 41 |
The 9 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $268 | —no start of play | 17 h 28to the end, median over 201 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6 | -0.23 | 54c | -49.6% | 40 |
The 16 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,261 | before 31%in play 69%, over 95 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start | 2 h 33to the end, median over 955 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 51 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -11.1 | -0.12 | 64c | -20.7% | 40 |
The 95 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $758 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 354 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -5.0 | -0.18 | 36c | -41.9% | 40 |
The 28 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $5,591 | before 20%in play 80%, over 257 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 3 h 47to the end, median over 1,321 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 143 of 257 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 257 | 42.8%110 W · 147 L | -27.3 | -0.11 | 53c | -27.1% | 39 |
The 257 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 257 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $1,091 | before 26%in play 74%, over 76 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 2 h 20to the end, median over 494 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 48 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -10.3 | -0.14 | 60c | -28.4% | 39 |
The 76 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 76 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $5,003 | before 28%in play 72%, over 273 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min after the start | 3 h 49to the end, median over 1,265 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 51 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 115 of 273 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 273 | 43.2%118 W · 155 L | -30.7 | -0.11 | 54c | -21.9% | 39 |
The 273 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 273 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $263 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 254 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | -0.35no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.7 | -0.33 | 41c | -90.1% | 37 |
The 14 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,907 | before 19%in play 81%, over 142 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 3 h 51to the end, median over 966 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 33 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 142 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -22.4 | -0.16 | 62c | -26.4% | 35 |
The 142 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 142 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa Internationallast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $18,198 | before 31%in play 69%, over 584 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 3 h 53to the end, median over 1,785 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 296 of 587 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 587 | 28.8%169 W · 418 L | -82.4 | -0.14 | 43c | -49.2% | 35 |
The 587 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 587 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $4,341 | before 14%in play 86%, over 190 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 2 h 05to the end, median over 839 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 110 of 190 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | -30.6 | -0.16 | 50c | -44.1% | 34 |
The 190 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 190 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $6,045 | before 44%in play 56%, over 285 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 2 h 21to the end, median over 630 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 145 of 287 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 287 | 28.9%83 W · 204 L | -45.0 | -0.16 | 45c | -46.3% | 34 |
The 287 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 287 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $847 | before 24%in play 76%, over 50 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 2 h 06to the end, median over 291 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -12.0 | -0.24 | 58c | -49.4% | 32 |
The 50 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $2,950 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 1,184 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 110 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -19.6 | -0.21 | 41c | -65.2% | 32 |
The 95 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $1,641 | before 11%in play 89%, over 111 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min after the start | 3 h 10to the end, median over 764 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 51 of 111 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -22.4 | -0.20 | 58c | -41.2% | 32 |
The 111 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 111 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $768 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 1,010 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 191 of them sold before the market settled | -0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -11.0 | -0.27 | 39c | -77.7% | 32 |
The 41 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,042 | before 60%in play 40%, over 101 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min before the start | 45 minto the end, median over 371 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 65 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -22.7 | -0.22 | 49c | -51.8% | 30 |
The 104 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $1,458 | —no start of play | 6 h 22to the end, median over 587 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -16.2 | -0.25 | 45c | -60.6% | 30 |
The 65 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $2,367 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 1,023 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 130 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 130 | 20.8%27 W · 103 L | -27.9 | -0.21 | 42c | -65.9% | 30 |
The 130 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 130 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $5,244 | before 62%in play 38%, over 193 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min before the start | 4 h 41to the end, median over 521 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 47 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 88 of 196 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 196 | 24%47 W · 149 L | -40.0 | -0.20 | 44c | -59.2% | 30 |
The 196 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 196 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $897 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 595 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.32no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 44 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -13.2 | -0.30 | 50c | -70.1% | 29 |
The 44 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 44 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $22,316 | before 60%in play 40%, over 801 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min before the start | 6 h 24to the end, median over 1,898 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 124 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 422 of 808 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 808 | 24.9%201 W · 607 L | -159.5 | -0.20 | 45c | -57.3% | 29 |
The 808 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 808 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $5,844 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 3,207 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 508 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 101 of 284 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 284 | 24.6%70 W · 214 L | -61.8 | -0.22 | 46c | -58.2% | 28 |
The 284 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 284 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $51,860 | before 49%in play 51%, over 2,230 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min after the start | 3 h 26to the end, median over 5,776 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 112 of them sold before the market settled | -0.29no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,431 of 2,236 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,236 | 20.4%457 W · 1,779 L | -561.2 | -0.25 | 46c | -65.2% | 22 |
The 2,236 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,236 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $18,405 | before 40%in play 60%, over 685 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min after the start | 3 h 11to the end, median over 1,447 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 431 of 686 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 686 | 12.4%85 W · 601 L | -191.6 | -0.28 | 40c | -78.4% | 20 |
The 686 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 686 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $834 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 330 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.51no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -18.5 | -0.51 | 54c | -96.4% | 16 |
The 36 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $20,918 | before 90%in play 10%, over 1,232 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 48 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 21,872 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 340 of them sold before the market settled | -0.36no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 564 of 1,424 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,424 | 23.9%341 W · 1,083 L | -487.8 | -0.34 | 58c | -62.5% | 13 |
The 1,424 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 10,715 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,424 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 3,134
- What they are worth now
- $35,158bought for $34,036
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 43worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 3,134, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 43. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0xa673…1ae4backed outcome 0 | 100 | 0c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xb723…576bbacked outcome 0 | 98 | 33c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x4ac8…95e1backed outcome 0 | 93 | 8c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x9c35…6a74backed outcome 0 | 50.07 | 0c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xc670…ee72backed outcome 0 | 50 | 1c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.