TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79cb…331e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
3,376
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: Music, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Music at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 3,376 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT8783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4568.3%38 W · 418 L+1.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT3993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST11612.9%15 W · 101 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-59.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1140%0 W · 114 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT647.8%5 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6410.9%7 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT561.8%1 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT4214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3013.3%4 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-61.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-71.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-77.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+1,501.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-70%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.