Wallet 0x7a3f…6712
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x7a3fb8c5ad2af4c621b2138d9579410343976712
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$311,729 staked over 4,318 qualified picks in 28 categories, 7 of 28 below 50.
Best category
NHL
$2,832 staked over 72 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.12 per pick.
See the full NHL boardSecond best
Mls
$5,049 staked over 130 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Mls boardThird best
UFC
$1,713 staked over 13 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full UFC boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,318 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category28 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHLlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $2,832 | before 19%in play 81%, over 72 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 4 h 24to the end, median over 309 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 60 of 72 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +11.5 | +0.16 | 48c | +28.8% | 63 |
The 72 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 72 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $5,049 | before 0%in play 100%, over 130 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 2 h 06to the end, median over 441 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 43% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 126 of 130 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 130 | 64.6%84 W · 46 L | +16.1 | +0.12 | 52c | +26.8% | 62 |
The 130 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 130 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $1,713 | before 8%in play 92%, over 13 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 22 after the start | 46 minto the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 59% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 13 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9 | +0.23 | 47c | +52.6% | 59 |
The 13 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,553 | before 23%in play 77%, over 56 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 2 h 22to the end, median over 165 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 51 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +6.1 | +0.11 | 50c | +31.7% | 58 |
The 56 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $753 | before 0%in play 100%, over 35 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 after the start | 3 h 10to the end, median over 131 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 10% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 35 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.3 | +0.12 | 48c | +40.7% | 58 |
The 35 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $1,111 | before 0%in play 100%, over 19 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 4 h 03to the end, median over 70 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1388% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8 | +0.15 | 43c | +26.9% | 57 |
The 19 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $2,254 | before 12%in play 88%, over 51 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 44 after the start | 1 h 06to the end, median over 92 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 48 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8 | +0.07 | 48c | +6% | 55 |
The 51 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 51 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $30,356 | before 17%in play 83%, over 263 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min after the start | 2 h 41to the end, median over 661 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 251 of 263 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 263 | 53.2%140 W · 123 L | +13.9 | +0.05 | 48c | +10.4% | 55 |
The 263 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 263 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $12,193 | before 9%in play 91%, over 103 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 377 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 94 of 103 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +5.7 | +0.06 | 50c | +4.8% | 55 |
The 103 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 103 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,041 | before 5%in play 95%, over 41 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 34 after the start | 1 h 03to the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0692% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 33 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.7 | +0.07 | 52c | +19.2% | 54 |
The 41 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,277 | before 3%in play 97%, over 87 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 3 h 25to the end, median over 342 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 82 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +4.5 | +0.05 | 56c | +17.6% | 54 |
The 87 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $3,263 | before 11%in play 89%, over 37 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start | 3 h 31to the end, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 32 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4 | +0.07 | 50c | +19.7% | 54 |
The 37 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $54,374 | before 11%in play 89%, over 647 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 2 h 01to the end, median over 1,373 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 616 of 654 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 654 | 52%340 W · 314 L | +22.0 | +0.03 | 49c | +3.2% | 54 |
The 654 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 654 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $12,486 | before 1%in play 99%, over 259 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 703 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 256 of 259 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 259 | 50.6%131 W · 128 L | +6.1 | +0.02 | 48c | +2.2% | 52 |
The 259 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 259 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,127 | before 32%in play 68%, over 38 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 4 h 06to the end, median over 104 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 40% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 32 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4 | +0.04 | 48c | +4.3% | 52 |
The 39 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $4,879 | before 3%in play 97%, over 119 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min after the start | 2 h 23to the end, median over 360 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 116 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8 | +0.02 | 51c | +7.2% | 52 |
The 119 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 119 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $42,334 | before 17%in play 83%, over 492 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 2 h 33to the end, median over 1,316 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 443 of 493 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 493 | 49.5%244 W · 249 L | +3.8 | +0.01 | 49c | +3.7% | 51 |
The 493 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 493 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $2,740 | before 11%in play 89%, over 53 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 36 after the start | 2 h 13to the end, median over 127 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 49 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 52c | -6.5% | 51 |
The 53 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,375 | before 2%in play 98%, over 60 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 3 h 20to the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 59 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.3 | 0.00 | 51c | +6% | 50 |
The 60 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $15,409 | before 22%in play 78%, over 318 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 701 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 291 of 318 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 318 | 45%143 W · 175 L | +0.9 | 0.00 | 45c | -4.6% | 50 |
The 318 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 318 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $28,428 | before 30%in play 70%, over 266 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 5 h 16to the end, median over 489 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 61% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 203 of 266 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 266 | 51.5%137 W · 129 L | +0.3 | 0.00 | 51c | -7.8% | 50 |
The 266 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 266 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $41,798 | before 24%in play 76%, over 566 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 3 h 53to the end, median over 1,440 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 66 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 540 of 566 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 566 | 46.6%264 W · 302 L | -1.8 | 0.00 | 47c | -7.9% | 50 |
The 566 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 566 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Apr 23, 2026, EDT | $1,121 | before 87%in play 13%, over 32 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 06 before the start | 14 h 48to the end, median over 266 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 54c | -2.6% | 49 |
The 32 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,276 | before 5%in play 95%, over 173 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 3 h 27to the end, median over 509 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 166 of 173 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | -4.1 | -0.02 | 51c | -0.3% | 48 |
The 173 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 173 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $3,070 | before 7%in play 93%, over 73 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 274 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 67 of 74 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.1 | -0.03 | 54c | -7.2% | 48 |
The 74 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 74 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $2,043 | before 6%in play 94%, over 95 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start | 59 minto the end, median over 422 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 86 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -3.0 | -0.03 | 54c | -8.7% | 47 |
The 95 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $15,408 | before 22%in play 78%, over 116 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 330 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 98 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.6 | -0.03 | 44c | -17.4% | 47 |
The 116 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $5,465 | before 6%in play 94%, over 93 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 1 h 44to the end, median over 259 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 91 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.4 | -0.05 | 48c | -19.8% | 46 |
The 94 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,318 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 94 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 9
- What they are worth now
- $536bought for $508
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 9 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Vienna vs. Mega Mozzart (opens in a new tab)backed Mega Mozzart | 497 | 92c | 100c | $495 |
| Market 0xc7e7…48d1backed outcome 1 | 30 | 48c | 51c | $15 |
| Ningbo Rockets vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers (opens in a new tab)backed Ningbo Rockets | 20 | 50c | 43c | $9 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 18% or more? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 159.13 | 10c | 5c | $7 |
| Ningbo Rockets vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers (opens in a new tab)backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 5 | 60c | 57c | $3 |
| Will Notts County FC vs. Blackpool FC end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 5 | 77c | 56c | $3 |
| Partizan vs. Ilirija (opens in a new tab)backed Ilirija | 23.68 | 7c | 10c | $2 |
| Will Notts County FC vs. Blackpool FC end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 5 | 34c | 44c | $2 |
| Qingdao Eagles vs. Nanjing Monkey King (opens in a new tab)backed Nanjing Monkey King | 5 | 31c | 10c | $0 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.