TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b13…2f02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT9040%36 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.37
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+229.9%+$1,365.79
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$729.35
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+303.2%+$939.95
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$473.99
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Ivan Marrerobacked Ivan Marrero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.9
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.25
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$343
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$464
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$576
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$387
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.59
Hagen: Maxim Mrva vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidelbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$268
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$500.2
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$378
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$222
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$251.99
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.7
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$139.2
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.08
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed Club Puebla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$12.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.