TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ba1…3820

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT13653.7%73 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$61.87
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$152.31
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.88
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.01
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.57
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$15.59
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$61.64
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.01
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.15
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$89.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$22.63
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.03
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.31
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$89.31
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$52.03
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.69
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$95
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$27.15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.53
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.55
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.41
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.77
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.41
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.67
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.61
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.83
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$86.83
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$58.44
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.36
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$97.98
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$53.45
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.65
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.77
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.61
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$24.94
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.47
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.5
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$23.93
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.67
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.79
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.61
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.89
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.95
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.11
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.96
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.47
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.83
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.