Wallet 0x7d0e…4f01
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x7d0e41915dd94259bbe9dae12d33b1c26d304f01
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$293,710 staked over 7,417 qualified picks in 24 categories, 14 of 24 below 50.
Best category
NBA
$4,420 staked over 101 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full NBA boardSecond best
Premier League
$10,679 staked over 171 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Premier League boardThird best
South American Leagues
$724 staked over 24 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full South American Leagues boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 7,417 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category24 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBAlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $4,420 | before 100%in play 0%, over 101 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 02 before the start | 7 h 31to the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 72 of 101 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +13.9 | +0.14 | 51c | +31.5% | 62 |
The 101 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 101 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,679 | before 100%in play 0%, over 171 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 50 before the start | 7 h 01to the end, median over 218 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0494% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 116 of 171 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +6.5 | +0.04 | 49c | +7.5% | 54 |
The 171 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 171 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled May 29, 2026, EDT | $724 | before 100%in play 0%, over 24 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 before the start | 10 h 05to the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0696% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 17 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.5 | +0.06 | 56c | +6.2% | 53 |
The 24 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $19,375 | before 100%in play 0%, over 323 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 03 before the start | 10 h 37to the end, median over 346 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0399% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 192 of 323 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +9.1 | +0.03 | 50c | +7.9% | 53 |
The 323 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 323 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,796 | before 99%in play 1%, over 123 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 h 37 before the start | 19 h 42to the end, median over 161 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 62 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.9 | +0.03 | 46c | +13.2% | 53 |
The 123 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 123 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Jun 8, 2026, EDT | $432 | before 100%in play 0%, over 28 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 02 before the start | 5 h 43to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4 | +0.05 | 49c | +9% | 53 |
The 28 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Aug 20, 2026, EDT | $10,305 | before 100%in play 0%, over 390 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 22 before the start | 10 h 45to the end, median over 718 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0194% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 261 of 390 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 390 | 50%195 W · 195 L | +4.1 | +0.01 | 49c | +3.9% | 51 |
The 390 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 390 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $22,420 | before 100%in play 0%, over 713 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 36 before the start | 9 h 52to the end, median over 3,873 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 61% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 444 of 716 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 716 | 58.1%416 W · 300 L | +5.3 | +0.01 | 57c | +0.5% | 51 |
The 716 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 716 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $60,774 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,815 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 33 before the start | 6 h 54to the end, median over 2,816 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0179% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,138 of 1,823 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,823 | 44%803 W · 1,020 L | +12.9 | +0.01 | 43c | +2% | 51 |
The 1,823 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,823 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,080 | before 100%in play 0%, over 258 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 11 before the start | 6 h 03to the end, median over 282 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 66% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 140 of 258 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 258 | 48.8%126 W · 132 L | +0.8 | 0.00 | 49c | +5.2% | 50 |
The 258 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 258 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,671 | before 100%in play 0%, over 69 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 45 before the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 91 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.5 | -0.01 | 41c | +15.8% | 49 |
The 69 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 69 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 5, 2026, EDT | $317 | before 100%in play 0%, over 10 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 34 before the start | 9 h 33to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2 | -0.02 | 52c | -27.8% | 49 |
The 10 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 8, 2026, EDT | $2,283 | before 100%in play 0%, over 78 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min before the start | 8 h 13to the end, median over 126 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 48c | -3.2% | 49 |
The 78 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,853 | before 100%in play 0%, over 164 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 32 before the start | 8 h 59to the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 103 of 164 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -1.4 | -0.01 | 48c | -2.3% | 49 |
The 164 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 164 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,934 | before 99%in play 1%, over 330 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 49 before the start | 6 h 51to the end, median over 460 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 219 of 330 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | -3.7 | -0.01 | 48c | -6.4% | 49 |
The 330 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 330 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Sep 21, 2026, EDT | $38,432 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,029 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 45 before the start | 8 h 12to the end, median over 1,429 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 722 of 1,029 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -12.1 | -0.01 | 49c | -4.4% | 49 |
The 1,029 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,029 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $872 | before 100%in play 0%, over 30 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 before the start | 5 h 02to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.1 | -0.04 | 47c | -6.7% | 48 |
The 30 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $33,370 | before 100%in play 0%, over 910 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 20 before the start | 7 h 04to the end, median over 1,191 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 634 of 910 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 910 | 47.3%430 W · 480 L | -25.2 | -0.03 | 50c | -5.3% | 47 |
The 910 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 910 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $11,486 | before 100%in play 0%, over 207 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 55 before the start | 5 h 48to the end, median over 270 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 123 of 207 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -7.9 | -0.04 | 47c | -13.6% | 46 |
The 207 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 207 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $8,237 | before 100%in play 0%, over 166 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 before the start | 5 h 26to the end, median over 222 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 113 of 166 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -7.0 | -0.04 | 50c | -12.1% | 46 |
The 166 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 166 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT | $1,744 | before 98%in play 2%, over 63 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 49 before the start | 8 h 16to the end, median over 104 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3 | -0.05 | 50c | -15.6% | 46 |
The 63 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,104 | before 100%in play 0%, over 81 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 39 before the start | 4 h 06to the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 44 of 81 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.7 | -0.08 | 45c | -26.7% | 43 |
The 81 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 81 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,197 | before 100%in play 0%, over 189 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 09 before the start | 5 h 50to the end, median over 239 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 112 of 189 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | -14.0 | -0.07 | 47c | -28.5% | 43 |
The 189 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 189 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,203 | before 100%in play 0%, over 134 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 56 before the start | 4 h 22to the end, median over 155 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 88 of 134 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -10.4 | -0.08 | 49c | -23.6% | 43 |
The 134 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 7,417 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 134 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 46
- What they are worth now
- $2,366bought for $2,392
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 46, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Vikings (-14.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Colts | 200 | 77c | 76c | $151 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200.83 | 74c | 74c | $148 |
| Spread: Panthers (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Panthers | 200 | 46c | 43c | $85 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 100 | 84c | 85c | $85 |
| Spread: Vikings (-17.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Colts | 100 | 84c | 84c | $84 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 43c | 42c | $83 |
| Bengals vs. Ravens (opens in a new tab)backed Ravens | 200 | 45c | 42c | $83 |
| Rams vs. Raiders (opens in a new tab)backed Raiders | 200 | 38c | 40c | $79 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 38c | 38c | $75 |
| Spread: Raiders (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Rams | 100 | 75c | 75c | $75 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.