TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d26…a7d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
221
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 60 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT9645.8%44 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,787Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$4,727.67
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.66
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$354.68
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$384.88
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+292.5%+$8,837.03
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$247.73
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$643.87
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,671Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$2,134.61
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.24
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,937Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,936.87
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$68
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$715.36
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.87
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.76
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$2,411.4
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$302.11
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.63
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.21
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+349%+$620.41
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$59.57
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.88
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.35
Will $MARU reach $1B in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.4
Will $MARU reach $900M in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$11.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.52
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.7%+$681.5
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39%+$86.49
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,464.23
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.23
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.8%+$859.55
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.4%+$1,598.58
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$473.68
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,227Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+63.1%+$773.95
Will XRP reach $3.30 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+103.4%+$1,275.58
Will XRP reach $3.50 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$832.41
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$86.02
Will XRP reach $3.20 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+30%+$318.15
Will XRP reach $3.20 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Will XRP dip to $2.90 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will XRP reach $3.60 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$194.57
Will XRP reach $3.40 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+44%+$186.88
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$30.21
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.2
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.83
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.42
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.89
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,705.15
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.13
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.13
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.86
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108%+$524.4
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.24
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$897.92
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,463.65
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.87
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.58
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+324.1%+$562.08
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$133.68
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,895Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$2,130.82
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$1,799.69
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$143
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$395.89
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.67
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.79
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,081.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$360
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.6
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$4,767.23
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-47.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$89.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$46.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$94.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$727.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$503.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola emergency by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.