Wallet 0x7d7f…86d2
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x7d7f2c69bbe0f46251c5fc9e60d329ee3e2a86d2
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$282,689 staked over 3,260 qualified picks in 28 categories, 17 of 28 below 50.
Best category
Australian A League
$2,958 staked over 16 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardSecond best
F1
$5,704 staked over 19 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full F1 boardThird best
Dota2
$1,026 staked over 64 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Dota2 boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,260 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category28 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 23, 2026, EDT | $2,958 | before 6%in play 94%, over 16 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start | 3 h 46to the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.26105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.9 | +0.25 | 44c | +70.7% | 61 |
The 16 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $5,704 | before 89%in play 11%, over 19 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 58 before the start | 12 h 09to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0975% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2 | +0.11 | 57c | +25% | 55 |
The 19 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Mar 14, 2026, EDT | $1,026 | before 20%in play 80%, over 64 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 396 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10152% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 152% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 60 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.2 | +0.07 | 54c | +9.6% | 55 |
The 64 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 64 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT | $3,512 | before 3%in play 97%, over 33 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 5 h 03to the end, median over 101 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08122% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 122% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 32 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.3 | +0.07 | 48c | +11% | 54 |
The 33 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled May 28, 2026, EDT | $1,294 | before 0%in play 100%, over 14 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 3 h 53to the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 70% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 14 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0 | +0.07 | 36c | -13.5% | 53 |
The 14 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $3,931 | before 2%in play 98%, over 49 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 4 h 31to the end, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0390% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 49 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7 | +0.03 | 46c | +14.5% | 53 |
The 49 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $18,232 | before 3%in play 97%, over 171 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 4 h 27to the end, median over 425 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 69% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 152 of 171 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4 | +0.03 | 47c | +7.4% | 52 |
The 171 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 171 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $2,827 | before 5%in play 95%, over 39 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 4 h 32to the end, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04116% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 116% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3 | +0.03 | 43c | -2% | 52 |
The 39 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $27,740 | before 2%in play 98%, over 267 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 561 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 252 of 267 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9 | +0.01 | 44c | -8% | 51 |
The 267 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 267 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Feb 9, 2026, EST | $32 | —too few: 1 pick | 21 h 40to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.31143% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 143% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.22 | 78c | +27.8% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Mar 19, 2026, EDT | $2,939 | before 35%in play 65%, over 178 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 06to the end, median over 764 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 156 of 178 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 36c | -16.3% | 50 |
The 178 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 178 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 2, 2026, EDT | $6,861 | before 32%in play 68%, over 80 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 4 h 44to the end, median over 308 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 57 of 80 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9 | -0.01 | 45c | +2.9% | 49 |
The 80 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 80 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT | $9,640 | before 17%in play 83%, over 46 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 38 after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 81 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 38 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8 | -0.02 | 45c | -14.2% | 49 |
The 46 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $8,231 | before 5%in play 95%, over 99 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 4 h 37to the end, median over 284 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 92 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5 | -0.01 | 48c | -26.8% | 49 |
The 99 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 99 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $5,823 | before 8%in play 92%, over 75 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min after the start | 4 h 25to the end, median over 232 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 71 of 75 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.2 | -0.02 | 47c | -14.6% | 49 |
The 75 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 75 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 18, 2026, EDT | $5,836 | before 22%in play 78%, over 309 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 4 h 18to the end, median over 1,203 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 290 of 309 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1 | -0.02 | 47c | -20.7% | 48 |
The 309 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 309 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $16,592 | before 0%in play 100%, over 123 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 4 h 15to the end, median over 178 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 111 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9 | -0.02 | 46c | -16.7% | 48 |
The 123 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 123 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Mar 15, 2026, EDT | $703 | before 46%in play 54%, over 41 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 5 h 34to the end, median over 214 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.3 | -0.03 | 37c | -27.1% | 48 |
The 41 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT | $2,932 | before 5%in play 95%, over 21 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 3 h 58to the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2 | -0.06 | 34c | -20.4% | 47 |
The 21 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled May 14, 2026, EDT | $6,975 | before 20%in play 80%, over 275 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 3 h 55to the end, median over 1,591 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 268 of 275 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5 | -0.03 | 50c | -11.3% | 47 |
The 275 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 275 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT | $6,672 | before 24%in play 76%, over 149 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 4 h 48to the end, median over 538 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 145 of 149 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -5.4 | -0.04 | 44c | -23.6% | 47 |
The 149 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 149 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 2, 2026, EDT | $16,190 | before 54%in play 46%, over 69 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 5 h 08to the end, median over 115 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 45 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.4 | -0.05 | 51c | -21% | 46 |
The 69 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 69 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jun 4, 2026, EDT | $5,654 | before 33%in play 67%, over 64 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 6 h 55to the end, median over 97 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 48 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2 | -0.05 | 41c | -25.6% | 46 |
The 64 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 64 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $28,108 | before 4%in play 96%, over 276 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 4 h 20to the end, median over 474 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 248 of 276 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4 | -0.05 | 44c | -24.8% | 45 |
The 276 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 276 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 7, 2026, EDT | $12,497 | before 41%in play 59%, over 106 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min after the start | 5 h 49to the end, median over 186 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 79 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -6.9 | -0.07 | 46c | -26.5% | 44 |
The 106 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Jun 4, 2026, EDT | $13,292 | before 26%in play 74%, over 62 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 3 h 26to the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 52 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6 | -0.11 | 48c | -33.9% | 42 |
The 62 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Mar 15, 2026, EDT | $1,770 | before 28%in play 72%, over 106 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min after the start | 4 h 30to the end, median over 499 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 99 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -10.3 | -0.10 | 48c | -29.2% | 41 |
The 106 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $64,715 | before 20%in play 80%, over 508 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 3 h 35to the end, median over 625 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 439 of 508 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 508 | 37.2%189 W · 319 L | -42.9 | -0.08 | 46c | -28.5% | 41 |
The 508 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,260 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 508 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 0
- What they are worth now
- $0bought for $0
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50worth $0
This wallet holds nothing on a market that is still running. Everything below is settled and waiting to be cashed.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0xe8e9…0d52backed outcome 1 | 333.28 | 61c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 300 | 14c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 300 | 22c | $0 | Counted |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 300 | 18c | $0 | Counted |
| T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Croatia (opens in a new tab)backed Switzerland · settled | 276.73 | 86c | $0 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 3 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.